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Lisbon (Portugal) Predictions & Picks — October 14, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 14, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Lisbon (Portugal), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jazmin Ortenzi against Polona Hercog in the round of 16. Our calls: Hercog over Ortenzi, Ferro over Janicijevic, Maneiro over Escorihuela.

Fiona Ferro vs Selena Janicijevic

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Fiona Ferro at 73% before the match, and Fiona Ferro won 7-5 6-1.

Pick: Ferro

Win probability: 73% Ferro · Market: -577 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (48%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Fiona Ferro goes up against Selena Janicijevic in the Lisbon (Portugal) round of 16. Fiona Ferro has won 8 of the last 10. Selena Janicijevic is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Fiona Ferro is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ferro around 73%. Ferro comes in off a compressed schedule; Janicijevic comes in off a compressed schedule. Janicijevic needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Jazmin Ortenzi vs Polona Hercog

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Polona Hercog was our 54% pick, and won 6-3 3-6 6-3.

Pick: Hercog

Win probability: 54% Hercog · Market: +101 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)

Jazmin Ortenzi and Polona Hercog meet in the round of 16 at Lisbon (Portugal) on Wednesday. Polona Hercog has dropped 4 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Jazmin Ortenzi has won 5 of the last 10.

Hercog's 63.2% behind the first serve (against 58.1% for Ortenzi) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Hercog comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Hercog fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at 74% before the match, and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro won 6-3 3-6 7-5.

Pick: Maneiro

Win probability: 74% Maneiro · Market: -367 · We call it in 2 sets (65%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (50%)

Irene Burillo Escorihuela and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro meet in the round of 16 at Lisbon (Portugal) on Wednesday. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Irene Burillo Escorihuela is 4-6 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 59.6% versus 54.7% on first-serve points in Maneiro's favor. Escorihuela comes in off a compressed schedule; Maneiro comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Maneiro win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

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Updated Oct 13, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.