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Olbia Predictions & Picks — October 14, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 14, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Olbia, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Stefano Travaglia against Valentin Royer in the round of 16. Our calls: Royer over Travaglia, Mmoh over Rincon, Guerrieri over Kasnikowski.

Stefano Travaglia vs Valentin Royer

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Valentin Royer at 59% lost to Stefano Travaglia (6-2 7-5).

Pick: Royer

Win probability: 59% Royer · Market: -249 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Stefano Travaglia goes up against Valentin Royer in the Olbia round of 16. Valentin Royer limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Stefano Travaglia has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Travaglia comes in off a compressed schedule; Royer comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Royer gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 56% on Andrea Guerrieri; Maks Kasnikowski won 6-3 6-4.

Pick: Guerrieri

Win probability: 56% Guerrieri · Market: -147 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Andrea Guerrieri goes up against Maks Kasnikowski in the Olbia round of 16. Andrea Guerrieri has won 6 of the last 10. Maks Kasnikowski comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Guerrieri fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Daniel Rincon vs Michael Mmoh

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 58% on Michael Mmoh, who won 7-5 6-2.

Pick: Mmoh

Win probability: 58% Mmoh · Market: -111 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)

Daniel Rincon and Michael Mmoh meet in the round of 16 at Olbia on Wednesday. Michael Mmoh comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Daniel Rincon is 5-5 across recent matches.

Michael Mmoh simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Rincon comes in off a compressed schedule; Mmoh comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Mmoh gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Oct 13, 2026, 10:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.