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Paris Predictions & Picks — November 2, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · November 2, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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13 matches are on Monday's card at Paris, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Hubert Hurkacz against Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 64. Our calls: Musetti over Hurkacz, Norrie over Arnaldi, Assche over Navone, Jodar over Tabilo, Ruud over Cerundolo, Droguet over Molcan, and 7 more.

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 69% on Rafael Jodar, who won 6-2 6-3.

Pick: Jodar

Win probability: 69% Jodar · Market: -343 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (41%)

Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Alejandro Tabilo against Rafael Jodar on clay. Rafael Jodar has won 7 of the last 10. Alejandro Tabilo limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Rafael Jodar is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Jodar around 69%. Jodar should have enough here, though Tabilo has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov

Not gradedThis match ended in a retirement, advancing Karen Khachanov. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Pick: Khachanov

Win probability: 63% Khachanov · Market: -158 · We call it in 2 sets (58%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Denis Shapovalov goes up against Karen Khachanov in the Paris round of 64. Karen Khachanov is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Denis Shapovalov comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Karen Khachanov is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Khachanov around 63%. The edge belongs to Khachanov — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Pick: Blockx

Win probability: 59% Blockx · Market: -141 · We call it in 3 sets (53%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (32%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Alexander Blockx goes up against Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Paris round of 64. Alexander Blockx is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Daniel Merida Aguilar is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

The serve is where this match separates: Blockx has been winning 75% of first-serve points to Aguilar's 64.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Blockx is exactly that — a lean.

Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Zizou Bergs at 54%, but Ignacio Buse won 6-2 6-4.

Pick: Bergs

Win probability: 54% Bergs · Market: -245 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (29%)

Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs meet in the round of 64 at Paris on Monday. Zizou Bergs limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Ignacio Buse limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Bergs has been winning 72.6% of first-serve points to Buse's 68.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bergs fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Cameron Norrie at 52% before the match, and Cameron Norrie won 6-4 1-6 6-3.

Pick: Norrie

Win probability: 52% Norrie · Market: -203 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)

Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Cameron Norrie against Matteo Arnaldi on clay. Cameron Norrie comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Matteo Arnaldi has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Norrie fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Luca Van Assche was our 52% pick, and won 6-3 7-5.

Pick: Assche

Win probability: 52% Assche · Market: -146 · We call it in 3 sets (49%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (26%)

Luca Van Assche and Mariano Navone meet in the round of 64 at Paris on Monday. Luca Van Assche limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Mariano Navone limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Assche's 66.4% behind the first serve (against 62.8% for Navone) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Assche gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Ugo Humbert

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Ugo Humbert was our 52% pick, and won 7-6 6-7 6-3.

Pick: Humbert

Win probability: 52% Humbert · Market: -164 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (29%)

Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Botic Van De Zandschulp against Ugo Humbert on clay. Ugo Humbert has dropped 3 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten. Botic Van De Zandschulp has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Humbert fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Lorenzo Musetti was our 52% pick, and won 7-6 7-6.

Pick: Musetti

Win probability: 52% Musetti · Market: -101 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (30%)

Hubert Hurkacz and Lorenzo Musetti meet in the round of 64 at Paris on Monday. Lorenzo Musetti comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Hubert Hurkacz is 7-3 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Musetti fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 70% on Casper Ruud, who won 6-3 6-2.

Pick: Ruud

Win probability: 70% Ruud · Market: -232 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (45%)

Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Casper Ruud against Juan Manuel Cerundolo on clay. Casper Ruud is 6-4 across recent matches. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Cerundolo — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Ruud.

Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 68% on Luciano Darderi; Rinky Hijikata won 6-2 6-2.

Pick: Darderi

Win probability: 68% Darderi · Market: +121 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (43%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Luciano Darderi goes up against Rinky Hijikata in the Paris round of 64. Luciano Darderi is 5-5 across recent matches. Rinky Hijikata limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Luciano Darderi is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Darderi around 68%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Darderi.

Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Tomas Machac at 65% before the match, and Tomas Machac won 7-6 6-1.

Pick: Machac

Win probability: 65% Machac · Market: -178 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)

Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Kyrian Jacquet against Tomas Machac on clay. Tomas Machac has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Kyrian Jacquet comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Machac.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Mattia Bellucci

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Mattia Bellucci was our 53% pick, and won 6-4 6-3.

Pick: Bellucci

Win probability: 53% Bellucci · Market: -137 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Lorenzo Sonego goes up against Mattia Bellucci in the Paris round of 64. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Lorenzo Sonego has won 4 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bellucci is exactly that — a lean.

Alex Molcan vs Titouan Droguet

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Titouan Droguet at 52%, but Alex Molcan won 4-6 6-4 6-4.

Pick: Droguet

Win probability: 52% Droguet · Market: +119 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (28%)

Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Alex Molcan against Titouan Droguet on clay. Titouan Droguet is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Alex Molcan comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Droguet's 72.1% behind the first serve (against 65.5% for Molcan) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Droguet is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Nov 1, 2026, 9:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

Paris Predictions & Picks — November 2, 2026 | Maiden