Thursday's US Open round of 64 pits Carlos Alcaraz against Jaime Faria on hard. Carlos Alcaraz is 7-3 across recent matches. Jaime Faria comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Carlos Alcaraz simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Faria needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Jaime Faria |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 71.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.4% | 47.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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