Montreal Predictions & Picks — August 4, 2026

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Martin Damm against Stefanos Tsitsipas on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 6 of the last 10. Martin Damm limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Stefanos Tsitsipas simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tsitsipas is exactly that — a lean.

Denis Shapovalov and Zachary Svajda meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Denis Shapovalov is rolling — 4 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Zachary Svajda limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Shapovalov has been winning 74.7% of first-serve points to Svajda's 71.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Shapovalov fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alexei Popyrin goes up against Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Montreal first round. Alexei Popyrin has dropped 5 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Roman Andres Burruchaga is 5-5 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.5% versus 65.5% on first-serve points in Popyrin's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Popyrin is exactly that — a lean.

Pablo Carreno Busta and Valentin Royer meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Pablo Carreno Busta is 6-4 across recent matches. Valentin Royer has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Busta has been winning 68.2% of first-serve points to Royer's 26.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Busta gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Gael Monfils goes up against Kamil Majchrzak in the Montreal first round. Gael Monfils limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Kamil Majchrzak has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Monfils is exactly that — a lean.

Jack Draper and Terence Atmane meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Jack Draper has won 6 of the last 10. Terence Atmane has won 2 of the last 10.

Jack Draper is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Draper around 69%. Draper should have enough here, though Atmane has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Botic Van De Zandschulp against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard on hard. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Botic Van De Zandschulp has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Perricard has been winning 78.4% of first-serve points to Zandschulp's 72%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Perricard gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Lorenzo Sonego goes up against Tallon Griekspoor in the Montreal first round. Tallon Griekspoor has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Lorenzo Sonego has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Griekspoor gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Adrian Mannarino goes up against Jacob Fearnley in the Montreal first round. Adrian Mannarino has won 4 of the last 10. Jacob Fearnley has won 9 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mannarino is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Fabian Marozsan against Shintaro Mochizuki on hard. Fabian Marozsan has won 5 of the last 10. Shintaro Mochizuki has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. If Marozsan plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Cameron Norrie against Camilo Ugo Carabelli on hard. Cameron Norrie comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Norrie should have enough here, though Carabelli has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the Montreal first round. Alex Michelsen has won 8 of the last 10. Jan Lennard Struff has won 6 of the last 10.

Alex Michelsen simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Michelsen — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Hubert Hurkacz against Marcos Giron on hard. Hubert Hurkacz has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall. Marcos Giron is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 75.8% versus 70.5% on first-serve points in Hurkacz's favor. The edge belongs to Hurkacz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Hamad Medjedovic goes up against Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Montreal first round. Hamad Medjedovic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Medjedovic's 72.3% behind the first serve (against 67.3% for Cerundolo) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Medjedovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniel Merida Aguilar goes up against Liam Draxl in the Montreal first round. Liam Draxl has won 6 of the last 10. Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 68.4% versus 63.8% on first-serve points in Draxl's favor. Little separates them; Draxl gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Adam Walton against Jenson Brooksby on hard. Adam Walton limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Jenson Brooksby has won 6 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.2% versus 66.9% on first-serve points in Walton's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Walton is exactly that — a lean.

Mattia Bellucci and Sebastian Baez meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Mattia Bellucci limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Sebastian Baez has won 7 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.7% versus 64.7% on first-serve points in Bellucci's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bellucci fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Corentin Moutet goes up against Marton Fucsovics in the Montreal first round. Marton Fucsovics is 3-7 across recent matches. Corentin Moutet limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Fucsovics has been winning 70.7% of first-serve points to Moutet's 65.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Fucsovics gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Jiri Lehecka and Vit Kopriva meet in the round of 64 at Montreal on Tuesday. Jiri Lehecka limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Vit Kopriva is 4-6 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 72.6% versus 66.5% on first-serve points in Lehecka's favor. Anything other than a Lehecka win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex De Minaur goes up against James Duckworth in the Montreal round of 64. Alex De Minaur is 7-3 across recent matches. James Duckworth is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Minaur should have enough here, though Duckworth has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Andrey Rublev against Juncheng Shang on hard. Andrey Rublev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Juncheng Shang has won 5 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Rublev has been winning 74.1% of first-serve points to Shang's 69.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Rublev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alexander Blockx goes up against Jaume Munar in the Montreal round of 64. Alexander Blockx comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Jaume Munar is 5-5 across recent matches.

Blockx's 74.1% behind the first serve (against 68.4% for Munar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Blockx gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Brandon Nakashima against Daniel Altmaier on hard. Brandon Nakashima has won 7 of the last 10. Daniel Altmaier has won 6 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Nakashima has been winning 74.2% of first-serve points to Altmaier's 71.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Nakashima.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Frances Tiafoe goes up against Marin Cilic in the Montreal round of 64. Frances Tiafoe has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Marin Cilic is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tiafoe is exactly that — a lean.