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Cincinnati Predictions & Picks — August 13, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 13, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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12 matches are on Thursday's card at Cincinnati, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Camila Osorio against Taylor Townsend in the first round. Our calls: Townsend over Osorio, Frech over Ruzic, Kasatkina over Sonmez, Birrell over Rakhimova, Boulter over Volynets, Linette over Ruse, and 6 more.

The boldest call on the card: Linette over Ruse — the market disagrees with us there.

Ashlyn Krueger vs. Lois Boisson

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Ashlyn Krueger at 63% lost to Lois Boisson (6-3 6-2).

Pick: Krueger

Win probability: 63% Krueger · Market: -210 · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Ashlyn Krueger goes up against Lois Boisson in the Cincinnati first round. Ashlyn Krueger is 8-2 across recent matches. Lois Boisson limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Ashlyn Krueger simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Krueger should have enough here, though Boisson has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Dayana Yastremska vs. Tatjana Maria

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Dayana Yastremska at 62%, but Tatjana Maria won 6-1 6-2.

Pick: Yastremska

Win probability: 62% Yastremska · Market: +112 · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)

Dayana Yastremska and Tatjana Maria meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Dayana Yastremska comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Tatjana Maria comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Dayana Yastremska is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Yastremska around 62%. Yastremska should have enough here, though Maria has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Anhelina Kalinina vs. Darja Vidmanova

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 61% on Anhelina Kalinina, who won 4-6 6-4 6-2.

Pick: Kalinina

Win probability: 61% Kalinina · Market: -110 · Sets: 2 (65%) · most likely score 2-0 (41%)

Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Anhelina Kalinina against Darja Vidmanova on hard. Anhelina Kalinina limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Darja Vidmanova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Anhelina Kalinina simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Kalinina should have enough here, though Vidmanova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Camila Osorio vs. Taylor Townsend

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 60% on Taylor Townsend, who won 3-6 6-3 6-3.

Pick: Townsend

Win probability: 60% Townsend · Market: -129 · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (39%)

Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Camila Osorio against Taylor Townsend on hard. Taylor Townsend comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Camila Osorio comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Taylor Townsend is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Townsend around 60%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Townsend.

Caroline Dolehide vs. Diane Parry

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 60% on Diane Parry, who won 6-4 7-6.

Pick: Parry

Win probability: 60% Parry · Market: +104 · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)

Caroline Dolehide and Diane Parry meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Diane Parry has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Caroline Dolehide has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Parry has been winning 65.6% of first-serve points to Dolehide's 61.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Parry is exactly that — a lean.

Katie Boulter vs. Katie Volynets

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Katie Boulter at 59% before the match, and Katie Boulter won 7-5 0-6 6-4.

Pick: Boulter

Win probability: 59% Boulter · Market: +107 · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)

Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Katie Boulter against Katie Volynets on hard. Katie Boulter limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Katie Volynets comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Boulter has been winning 67.6% of first-serve points to Volynets's 56.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Boulter gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Elena Gabriela Ruse vs. Magda Linette

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Magda Linette at 58%, but Elena Gabriela Ruse won 6-0 6-3.

Pick: LinetteUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Ruse the favorite; our numbers say Linette.

Win probability: 58% Linette · Market: +134 · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)

Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Elena Gabriela Ruse against Magda Linette on hard. Magda Linette has won 5 of the last 10. Elena Gabriela Ruse has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Linette fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Cristina Bucsa vs. Panna Udvardy

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 56% on Cristina Bucsa, who won 6-2 1-6 7-5.

Pick: Bucsa

Win probability: 56% Bucsa · Market: -140 · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Cristina Bucsa goes up against Panna Udvardy in the Cincinnati first round. Cristina Bucsa limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10. Panna Udvardy limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Cristina Bucsa simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bucsa fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Kamilla Rakhimova vs. Kimberly Birrell

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 55% on Kimberly Birrell; Kamilla Rakhimova won 6-2 6-2.

Pick: Birrell

Win probability: 55% Birrell · Market: -111 · Sets: 2 (59%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Kamilla Rakhimova goes up against Kimberly Birrell in the Cincinnati first round. Kimberly Birrell is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10). Kamilla Rakhimova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Birrell gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Daria Kasatkina vs. Zeynep Sonmez

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Daria Kasatkina at 54%, but Zeynep Sonmez won 2-6 7-6 6-3.

Pick: Kasatkina

Win probability: 54% Kasatkina · Market: -130 · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (34%)

Daria Kasatkina and Zeynep Sonmez meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Daria Kasatkina comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Zeynep Sonmez comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Daria Kasatkina leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kasatkina fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Antonia Ruzic vs. Magdalena Frech

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Magdalena Frech was our 50% pick, and won 6-2 7-5.

Pick: Frech

Win probability: 50% Frech · Market: -149 · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)

Antonia Ruzic and Magdalena Frech meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Magdalena Frech comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Antonia Ruzic has won 3 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Frech gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Petra Marcinko vs. Simona Waltert

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Petra Marcinko at 50%, but Simona Waltert won 5-7 6-4 6-2.

Pick: Marcinko

Win probability: 50% Marcinko · Market: -123 · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (27%)

Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Petra Marcinko against Simona Waltert on hard. Petra Marcinko has won 6 of the last 10. Simona Waltert limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Marcinko is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Aug 12, 2026, 2:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.