Beijing Predictions & Picks — October 1, 2026

Thursday's Beijing first round pits Andrea Lazaro Garcia against Sonay Kartal on hard. Sonay Kartal has won 5 of the last 10. Andrea Lazaro Garcia is 5-5 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 62.9% versus 59.4% on first-serve points in Kartal's favor. The edge belongs to Kartal — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Thursday's Beijing first round pits Daria Kasatkina against Paula Badosa on hard. Paula Badosa is 7-3 across recent matches. Daria Kasatkina has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

Badosa's 65% behind the first serve (against 59.1% for Kasatkina) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Badosa — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Panna Udvardy and Xinyu Gao meet in the first round at Beijing on Thursday. Panna Udvardy comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Xinyu Gao has dropped 5 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Udvardy has been winning 62.5% of first-serve points to Gao's 56%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Udvardy fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Katie Volynets and Robin Montgomery meet in the first round at Beijing on Thursday. Katie Volynets has won 7 of the last 10. Robin Montgomery has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Katie Volynets simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Volynets fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Katerina Siniakova goes up against Magda Linette in the Beijing first round. Katerina Siniakova is 4-6 across recent matches. Magda Linette has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Siniakova is exactly that — a lean.

Ashlyn Krueger and Sofia Kenin meet in the first round at Beijing on Thursday. Ashlyn Krueger is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Sofia Kenin has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Krueger gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Thursday's Beijing first round pits Alina Charaeva against Yuliia Starodubtseva on hard. Yuliia Starodubtseva comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Alina Charaeva is 5-5 across recent matches.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Starodubtseva is exactly that — a lean.

Camila Osorio and Lanlana Tararudee meet in the first round at Beijing on Thursday. Lanlana Tararudee has won 6 of the last 10. Camila Osorio is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (4 of the last 10).

The serve is where this match separates: Tararudee has been winning 67.5% of first-serve points to Osorio's 61.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Tararudee gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alycia Parks goes up against Lin Zhu in the Beijing first round. Alycia Parks comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Lin Zhu is 4-6 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.3% versus 59.7% on first-serve points in Parks's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Parks is exactly that — a lean.