A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Mathys Erhard goes up against Valentin Royer in the Olbia round of 32. Valentin Royer has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Mathys Erhard has won 5 of the last 10.
Valentin Royer is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Royer around 62%. Royer should have enough here, though Erhard has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.