Week in picks — July 6–12, 2026
A workmanlike 61-43 week — 58.7% across 104 graded picks — tennis 59-36, UFC 2-7. Nothing flashy, everything graded in public below.
Adam Walton at 50% in Adam Walton vs. Alex Michelsen. The market had the other side; we published the upset call anyway, and it landed.
Sebastian Ofner at 63% in Daniel Rincon vs. Sebastian Ofner. It lost. It stays on the record like everything else we publish.
Tennis
Tennis carried 59-36 (62.1%) over 95 graded picks, accuracy score 0.234 — lower is better, 0.25 is a coin flip; the sim called 43 exact set scores on the nose; upset calls against the market went 15-15.
July 6, 2026
Picks went 2-4 · 2 exact scores called
July 7, 2026
Picks went 2-2 · 1 exact score called
July 8, 2026
Picks went 14-12 · 10 exact scores called
July 9, 2026
Picks went 17-3 · 10 exact scores called
July 10, 2026
Picks went 10-10 · 9 exact scores called
July 11, 2026
Picks went 9-3 · 8 exact scores called
July 12, 2026
Picks went 5-2 · 3 exact scores called
UFC
UFC went 2-7 over 9 graded fight picks — the cage humbled us this week. Every fight below links its full result and pick review.
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
- Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa✗
- Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista✗
- Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh✗
- Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez✓
- Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoit Saint-Denis✗
- Tracy Cortez vs. Wang Cong✗
- Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor✗
- King Green vs. Terrance Mckinney✗
- Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov✓
Frequently asked questions
- How did Maiden's sports picks do in the week of July 6–12, 2026?
- Maiden went 61-43 (58.7%) across 104 graded picks in the week of July 6–12, 2026 — tennis 59-36, UFC 2-7. Every pick is graded in public against its published pre-match number, and the misses stay up.
- What was Maiden's best call in the week of July 6–12, 2026?
- Adam Walton at 50% in Adam Walton vs. Alex Michelsen — an upset call against the market favorite that landed.
- What was Maiden's worst miss in the week of July 6–12, 2026?
- Sebastian Ofner at 63% in Daniel Rincon vs. Sebastian Ofner — the strongest published number that lost. It remains on the public record.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — this review is generated from the graded record, never written after the fact, and every miss stays up.