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Weekly review

Week in picks — July 6–12, 2026

A workmanlike 61-43 week — 58.7% across 104 graded picks — tennis 59-36, UFC 2-7. Nothing flashy, everything graded in public below.

The best call

Adam Walton at 50% in Adam Walton vs. Alex Michelsen. The market had the other side; we published the upset call anyway, and it landed.

The one that hurt

Sebastian Ofner at 63% in Daniel Rincon vs. Sebastian Ofner. It lost. It stays on the record like everything else we publish.

Tennis

Tennis carried 59-36 (62.1%) over 95 graded picks, accuracy score 0.234 — lower is better, 0.25 is a coin flip; the sim called 43 exact set scores on the nose; upset calls against the market went 15-15.

UFC

UFC went 2-7 over 9 graded fight picks — the cage humbled us this week. Every fight below links its full result and pick review.

Frequently asked questions

How did Maiden's sports picks do in the week of July 6–12, 2026?
Maiden went 61-43 (58.7%) across 104 graded picks in the week of July 6–12, 2026 — tennis 59-36, UFC 2-7. Every pick is graded in public against its published pre-match number, and the misses stay up.
What was Maiden's best call in the week of July 6–12, 2026?
Adam Walton at 50% in Adam Walton vs. Alex Michelsen — an upset call against the market favorite that landed.
What was Maiden's worst miss in the week of July 6–12, 2026?
Sebastian Ofner at 63% in Daniel Rincon vs. Sebastian Ofner — the strongest published number that lost. It remains on the public record.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — this review is generated from the graded record, never written after the fact, and every miss stays up.