US Open Predictions & Picks — September 1, 2026

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Anastasia Zakharova against Naomi Osaka on hard. Naomi Osaka comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Anastasia Zakharova has won 5 of the last 10.

Osaka's 70.9% behind the first serve (against 59.2% for Zakharova) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Osaka.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Belinda Bencic against Yulia Putintseva on hard. Belinda Bencic brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Yulia Putintseva has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

Bencic's 66.3% behind the first serve (against 60% for Putintseva) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bencic.

Ella Seidel and Yuliia Starodubtseva meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Yuliia Starodubtseva comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Ella Seidel limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Starodubtseva is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Maria Sakkari against Robin Montgomery on hard. Maria Sakkari comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Robin Montgomery has won 6 of the last 10.

Maria Sakkari is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sakkari around 57%. Little separates them; Sakkari gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Alina Korneeva against Madison Keys on hard. Madison Keys has won 6 of the last 10. Alina Korneeva has won 3 of the last 10.

Madison Keys simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Keys should have enough here, though Korneeva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Janice Tjen goes up against Mirra Andreeva in the US Open first round. Mirra Andreeva is 6-4 across recent matches. Janice Tjen comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Mirra Andreeva simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Andreeva should have enough here, though Tjen has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Darja Vidmanova against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on hard. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is 5-5 across recent matches. Darja Vidmanova comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Maneiro gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Anastasia Potapova goes up against Tereza Valentova in the US Open first round. Tereza Valentova has won 6 of the last 10. Anastasia Potapova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Valentova fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Elise Mertens and Kaitlin Quevedo meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Elise Mertens is 6-4 across recent matches. Kaitlin Quevedo has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Mertens has been winning 63.4% of first-serve points to Quevedo's 60.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Mertens should have enough here, though Quevedo has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Arantxa Rus and Leolia Jeanjean meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Leolia Jeanjean has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Arantxa Rus limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jeanjean is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Coco Gauff goes up against Zeynep Sonmez in the US Open first round. Coco Gauff has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Zeynep Sonmez is 4-6 across recent matches.

Gauff's 65.8% behind the first serve (against 60.6% for Sonmez) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gauff.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Anastasia Potapova against Darja Semenistaja on hard. Anastasia Potapova has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Darja Semenistaja has dropped 5 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Potapova has been winning 63.8% of first-serve points to Semenistaja's 57.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Potapova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.