US Open predictions, September 1, 2026: Jodar vs Kokkinakis, Gea vs Cerundolo

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Rafael Jodar against Thanasi Kokkinakis on hard. Rafael Jodar has won 7 of the last 10. Thanasi Kokkinakis is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Rafael Jodar simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jodar is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Arthur Gea against Juan Manuel Cerundolo on hard. Arthur Gea has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gea is exactly that — a lean.

Frances Tiafoe and Martin Damm meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Frances Tiafoe has won 7 of the last 10. Martin Damm has won 4 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tiafoe.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Arthur Fery against Lorenzo Musetti on hard. Lorenzo Musetti has won 7 of the last 10. Arthur Fery comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Lorenzo Musetti simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Musetti fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Janice Tjen goes up against Mirra Andreeva in the US Open first round. Mirra Andreeva is 6-4 across recent matches. Janice Tjen comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Mirra Andreeva simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Andreeva should have enough here, though Tjen has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Anastasia Potapova goes up against Tereza Valentova in the US Open first round. Tereza Valentova has won 6 of the last 10. Anastasia Potapova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Valentova fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Coco Gauff goes up against Zeynep Sonmez in the US Open first round. Coco Gauff has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Zeynep Sonmez is 4-6 across recent matches.

Gauff's 65.8% behind the first serve (against 60.6% for Sonmez) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gauff.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Belinda Bencic against Yulia Putintseva on hard. Belinda Bencic brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Yulia Putintseva has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

Bencic's 66.3% behind the first serve (against 60% for Putintseva) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bencic.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniel Vallejo goes up against Gael Monfils in the US Open first round. Gael Monfils is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Daniel Vallejo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Monfils has been winning 70.8% of first-serve points to Vallejo's 64.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Monfils gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Alina Korneeva against Madison Keys on hard. Madison Keys has won 6 of the last 10. Alina Korneeva has won 3 of the last 10.

Madison Keys simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Keys should have enough here, though Korneeva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Anastasia Zakharova against Naomi Osaka on hard. Naomi Osaka comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Anastasia Zakharova has won 5 of the last 10.

Osaka's 70.9% behind the first serve (against 59.2% for Zakharova) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Osaka.

Elise Mertens and Kaitlin Quevedo meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Elise Mertens is 6-4 across recent matches. Kaitlin Quevedo has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Mertens has been winning 63.4% of first-serve points to Quevedo's 60.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Mertens should have enough here, though Quevedo has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Flavio Cobolli goes up against Francisco Comesana in the US Open first round. Flavio Cobolli has won 6 of the last 10. Francisco Comesana is 6-4 across recent matches.

Flavio Cobolli is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cobolli around 66%. The edge belongs to Cobolli — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Nishesh Basavareddy and Tristan Schoolkate meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Nishesh Basavareddy is 6-4 across recent matches. Tristan Schoolkate limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Nishesh Basavareddy simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Basavareddy gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Maria Sakkari against Robin Montgomery on hard. Maria Sakkari comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Robin Montgomery has won 6 of the last 10.

Maria Sakkari is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sakkari around 57%. Little separates them; Sakkari gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Camilo Ugo Carabelli goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the US Open first round. Jan Lennard Struff comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 5-5 across recent matches.

Struff's 76.5% behind the first serve (against 66% for Carabelli) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Struff gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Mattia Bellucci and Zsombor Piros meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Mattia Bellucci is 4-6 across recent matches. Zsombor Piros is 8-2 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.3% versus 65.8% on first-serve points in Bellucci's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bellucci fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Corentin Moutet goes up against Dane Sweeny in the US Open first round. Corentin Moutet has won 2 of the last 10. Dane Sweeny has won 4 of the last 10.

Corentin Moutet is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Moutet around 63%. The edge belongs to Moutet — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Darja Vidmanova against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on hard. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is 5-5 across recent matches. Darja Vidmanova comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Maneiro gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Filip Misolic against Francisco Cerundolo on hard. Francisco Cerundolo is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (5 of the last 10). Filip Misolic limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

Francisco Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cerundolo around 67%. Cerundolo should have enough here, though Misolic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Darwin Blanch against Taylor Fritz on hard. Taylor Fritz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Darwin Blanch is 2-8 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.6% versus 69.9% on first-serve points in Fritz's favor. Anything other than a Fritz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Anastasia Potapova against Darja Semenistaja on hard. Anastasia Potapova has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Darja Semenistaja has dropped 5 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Potapova has been winning 63.8% of first-serve points to Semenistaja's 57.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Potapova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Arantxa Rus and Leolia Jeanjean meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Leolia Jeanjean has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Arantxa Rus limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jeanjean is exactly that — a lean.

Ella Seidel and Yuliia Starodubtseva meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Yuliia Starodubtseva comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Ella Seidel limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Starodubtseva is exactly that — a lean.