12 matches are on Thursday's card at US Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gael Monfils against Learner Tien in the round of 64. Our calls: Tien over Monfils, Alcaraz over Faria.
Pick: Alcaraz
Win probability: 88% Alcaraz · Market: -722 · Sets: 3 (60%) · most likely score 3-0 (55%)
Carlos Alcaraz and Jaime Faria meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Thursday. Carlos Alcaraz has won 7 of the last 10. Jaime Faria has won 6 of the last 10.
Carlos Alcaraz is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Alcaraz around 88%. Anything other than a Alcaraz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Dane Sweeny goes up against Lorenzo Musetti in the US Open round of 64. Lorenzo Musetti comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Dane Sweeny has won 4 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Thursday's US Open round of 64 pits Alexander Zverev against Quentin Halys on hard. Alexander Zverev comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Quentin Halys comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Alexander Blockx and Marco Trungelliti meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Thursday. Alexander Blockx comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Marco Trungelliti comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Mattia Bellucci goes up against Taylor Fritz in the US Open round of 64. Taylor Fritz has won 8 of the last 10. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Flavio Cobolli and Tristan Schoolkate meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Thursday. Flavio Cobolli has won 6 of the last 10. Tristan Schoolkate has won 5 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Jakub Mensik and Jurij Rodionov meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Thursday. Jakub Mensik is 6-4 across recent matches. Jurij Rodionov is 4-6 across recent matches.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Felix Auger Aliassime and Karen Khachanov meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Thursday. Felix Auger Aliassime comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Karen Khachanov has won 4 of the last 10.
Pick: Tien
Win probability: 68% Tien · Market: -365 · Sets: 4+ (62%) · most likely score 3-0 (29%)
Thursday's US Open round of 64 pits Gael Monfils against Learner Tien on hard. Learner Tien comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Gael Monfils has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
Learner Tien simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Tien should have enough here, though Monfils has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Francisco Cerundolo goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the US Open round of 64. Francisco Cerundolo is 6-4 across recent matches. Jan Lennard Struff has won 6 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Alejandro Tabilo and Alexei Popyrin meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Thursday. Alejandro Tabilo comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Alexei Popyrin has won 4 of the last 10.
This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.
Thursday's US Open round of 64 pits Dalibor Svrcina against Luciano Darderi on hard. Luciano Darderi has won 6 of the last 10. Dalibor Svrcina comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.