Beijing Predictions & Picks — October 5, 2026

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Donna Vekic goes up against Iga Swiatek in the Beijing round of 32. Iga Swiatek has won 8 of the last 10. Donna Vekic has won 3 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Vekic needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Elina Svitolina goes up against Maria Sakkari in the Beijing round of 32. Elina Svitolina is 6-4 across recent matches. Maria Sakkari comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Svitolina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Monday's Beijing round of 32 pits Elise Mertens against Jelena Ostapenko on hard. Elise Mertens has won 6 of the last 10. Jelena Ostapenko has won 6 of the last 10.

Elise Mertens simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Mertens should have enough here, though Ostapenko has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Iva Jovic and Kamilla Rakhimova meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Monday. Iva Jovic brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Kamilla Rakhimova is 6-4 across recent matches.

Iva Jovic simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Jovic arrives with very little recovery time; Rakhimova comes in off a compressed schedule. Jovic should have enough here, though Rakhimova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Ann Li goes up against Belinda Bencic in the Beijing round of 32. Belinda Bencic comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Ann Li comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Belinda Bencic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Bencic around 70%. Li comes in off a compressed schedule; Bencic comes in off a compressed schedule. Bencic should have enough here, though Li has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Alina Charaeva goes up against Sonay Kartal in the Beijing round of 32. Sonay Kartal has won 6 of the last 10. Alina Charaeva comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Sonay Kartal simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Charaeva is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling; Kartal arrives with very little recovery time. The edge belongs to Kartal — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Marie Bouzkova and Qinwen Zheng meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Monday. Qinwen Zheng comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Marie Bouzkova comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Zheng has been winning 72.3% of first-serve points to Bouzkova's 62%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Bouzkova arrives with very little recovery time. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zheng.