Jinan Predictions & Picks — October 13, 2026

Tuesday's Jinan round of 32 pits Adam Walton against Marin Cilic on hard. Marin Cilic limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Adam Walton comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 76.4% versus 70.8% on first-serve points in Cilic's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cilic is exactly that — a lean.

Keegan Smith and Stefanos Sakellaridis meet in the round of 32 at Jinan on Tuesday. Stefanos Sakellaridis limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Keegan Smith is 5-5 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sakellaridis fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's Jinan round of 32 pits Fajing Sun against Jie Cui on hard. Fajing Sun has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Jie Cui is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Sun gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Jinan round of 32 pits Ilia Simakin against Martin Landaluce on hard. Martin Landaluce has won 3 of the last 10. Ilia Simakin has won 8 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Landaluce gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Jinan round of 32 pits Pavel Kotov against Vit Kopriva on hard. Pavel Kotov has won 7 of the last 10. Vit Kopriva has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.3% versus 66.5% on first-serve points in Kotov's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Kotov.

Alexandre Muller and Tomas Machac meet in the round of 32 at Jinan on Tuesday. Tomas Machac is 3-7 across recent matches. Alexandre Muller limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Tomas Machac simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Machac.

Tuesday's Jinan round of 32 pits Alexander Shevchenko against Miomir Kecmanovic on hard. Miomir Kecmanovic comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Alexander Shevchenko limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kecmanovic is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's Jinan round of 32 pits Bernard Tomic against Dane Sweeny on hard. Bernard Tomic comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Dane Sweeny is 4-6 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Tomic has been winning 71.3% of first-serve points to Sweeny's 66%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tomic fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci meet in the round of 32 at Jinan on Tuesday. Mattia Bellucci is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Elias Ymer is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Mattia Bellucci simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Bellucci — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Alibek Kachmazov and Dylan Hara Friend Jay meet in the round of 32 at Jinan on Tuesday. Dylan Hara Friend Jay is 6-4 across recent matches. Alibek Kachmazov has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jay fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Facundo Diaz Acosta goes up against Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan round of 32. Facundo Diaz Acosta is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (7 of the last 10). Shintaro Mochizuki has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Acosta is exactly that — a lean.