US Open Predictions & Picks — September 1, 2026

Frances Tiafoe and Martin Damm meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Frances Tiafoe has won 7 of the last 10. Martin Damm has won 4 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tiafoe.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Filip Misolic against Francisco Cerundolo on hard. Francisco Cerundolo is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (5 of the last 10). Filip Misolic limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

Francisco Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cerundolo around 67%. Cerundolo should have enough here, though Misolic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Flavio Cobolli goes up against Francisco Comesana in the US Open first round. Flavio Cobolli has won 6 of the last 10. Francisco Comesana is 6-4 across recent matches.

Flavio Cobolli is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cobolli around 66%. The edge belongs to Cobolli — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Corentin Moutet goes up against Dane Sweeny in the US Open first round. Corentin Moutet has won 2 of the last 10. Dane Sweeny has won 4 of the last 10.

Corentin Moutet is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Moutet around 63%. The edge belongs to Moutet — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Nishesh Basavareddy and Tristan Schoolkate meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Nishesh Basavareddy is 6-4 across recent matches. Tristan Schoolkate limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Nishesh Basavareddy simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Basavareddy gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Mattia Bellucci and Zsombor Piros meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Mattia Bellucci is 4-6 across recent matches. Zsombor Piros is 8-2 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.3% versus 65.8% on first-serve points in Bellucci's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bellucci fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Arthur Fery against Lorenzo Musetti on hard. Lorenzo Musetti has won 7 of the last 10. Arthur Fery comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Lorenzo Musetti simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Musetti fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Camilo Ugo Carabelli goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the US Open first round. Jan Lennard Struff comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 5-5 across recent matches.

Struff's 76.5% behind the first serve (against 66% for Carabelli) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Struff gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Darwin Blanch against Taylor Fritz on hard. Taylor Fritz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Darwin Blanch is 2-8 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.6% versus 69.9% on first-serve points in Fritz's favor. Anything other than a Fritz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Rafael Jodar against Thanasi Kokkinakis on hard. Rafael Jodar has won 7 of the last 10. Thanasi Kokkinakis is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Rafael Jodar simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jodar is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's US Open first round pits Arthur Gea against Juan Manuel Cerundolo on hard. Arthur Gea has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gea is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniel Vallejo goes up against Gael Monfils in the US Open first round. Gael Monfils is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Daniel Vallejo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Monfils has been winning 70.8% of first-serve points to Vallejo's 64.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Monfils gets the nod on the finest of margins.