Montreal & Toronto predictions, August 7, 2026: Ruud vs. Fonseca, Bencic vs. Townsend

Friday's Montreal round of 32 pits Casper Ruud against Joao Fonseca on hard. Joao Fonseca comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Casper Ruud comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Joao Fonseca has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Casper Ruud.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Fonseca gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Friday's Toronto round of 32 pits Belinda Bencic against Taylor Townsend on hard. Belinda Bencic is 8-2 across recent matches. Taylor Townsend has won 5 of the last 10.

Belinda Bencic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Bencic around 62%. The edge belongs to Bencic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Arthur Rinderknech and Frances Tiafoe meet in the round of 32 at Montreal on Friday. Frances Tiafoe comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Arthur Rinderknech comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Frances Tiafoe is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Tiafoe around 57%. Little separates them; Tiafoe gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Elise Mertens and Naomi Osaka meet in the round of 32 at Toronto on Friday. Naomi Osaka comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Elise Mertens has won 7 of the last 10.

Osaka's 71.1% behind the first serve (against 63.4% for Mertens) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Osaka is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Ben Shelton goes up against Zizou Bergs in the Montreal round of 32. Ben Shelton has won 7 of the last 10. Zizou Bergs is 7-3 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Shelton.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Coco Gauff goes up against Maria Sakkari in the Toronto round of 32. Coco Gauff comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Maria Sakkari has won 5 of the last 10.

Coco Gauff is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Gauff around 69%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gauff.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Jakub Mensik goes up against Terence Atmane in the Montreal round of 32. Jakub Mensik has won 6 of the last 10. Terence Atmane is 3-7 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 76.6% versus 72.8% on first-serve points in Mensik's favor. Mensik should have enough here, though Atmane has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar meet in the round of 32 at Montreal on Friday. Alex Michelsen has won 9 of the last 10. Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Michelsen's 69.8% behind the first serve (against 63.8% for Aguilar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Michelsen.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Botic Van De Zandschulp goes up against Hubert Hurkacz in the Montreal round of 32. Hubert Hurkacz brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Botic Van De Zandschulp is 4-6 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 75.8% of first-serve points to Zandschulp's 72%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Hurkacz should have enough here, though Zandschulp has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Leylah Fernandez goes up against Mirra Andreeva in the Toronto round of 32. Mirra Andreeva comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Leylah Fernandez comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Mirra Andreeva simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Andreeva.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Anastasia Potapova goes up against Elina Svitolina in the Toronto round of 32. Elina Svitolina has won 6 of the last 10. Anastasia Potapova comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Elina Svitolina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Svitolina around 68%. Svitolina should have enough here, though Potapova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Ann Li goes up against Elena Rybakina in the Toronto round of 32. Elena Rybakina comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Ann Li is 5-5 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Rybakina has been winning 70.1% of first-serve points to Li's 65.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. If Rybakina plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Friday's Montreal round of 32 pits Matteo Arnaldi against Tallon Griekspoor on hard. Tallon Griekspoor comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Matteo Arnaldi has won 6 of the last 10.

Matteo Arnaldi has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Tallon Griekspoor.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.2% versus 70% on first-serve points in Griekspoor's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Griekspoor.

Friday's Toronto round of 32 pits Liudmila Samsonova against Maya Joint on hard. Liudmila Samsonova comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Maya Joint comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.4% versus 60% on first-serve points in Samsonova's favor. Samsonova should have enough here, though Joint has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alina Korneeva goes up against Iva Jovic in the Toronto round of 32. Iva Jovic comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alina Korneeva is 3-7 across recent matches.

Iva Jovic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Jovic around 71%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Jovic.