Washington & Los Cabos predictions, July 31, 2026: Minaur vs. Nakashima, Musetti vs. Jodar

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alex De Minaur goes up against Brandon Nakashima in the Washington quarterfinal. Alex De Minaur has won 7 of the last 10. Brandon Nakashima is 7-3 across recent matches.

Alex De Minaur is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Minaur around 52%. Minaur comes in off a compressed schedule; Nakashima comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Minaur is exactly that — a lean.

Friday's Washington quarterfinal pits Lorenzo Musetti against Rafael Jodar on hard. Lorenzo Musetti has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Rafael Jodar comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Musetti gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Taylor Fritz in the Washington quarterfinal. Taylor Fritz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Alex Michelsen is rolling — 6 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.6% versus 69.7% on first-serve points in Fritz's favor. Little separates them; Fritz gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Arthur Gea and Francisco Cerundolo meet in the quarterfinal at Los Cabos on Friday. Francisco Cerundolo is 7-3 across recent matches. Arthur Gea has won 7 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cerundolo fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alexandra Eala goes up against Elina Svitolina in the Washington quarterfinal. Elina Svitolina comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alexandra Eala comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 63.7% versus 60.3% on first-serve points in Svitolina's favor. The edge belongs to Svitolina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Anna Kalinskaya and Jessica Pegula meet in the quarterfinal at Washington on Friday. Jessica Pegula comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Anna Kalinskaya is 7-3 across recent matches.

Jessica Pegula simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Pegula.

Coleman Wong and Jenson Brooksby meet in the quarterfinal at Los Cabos on Friday. Coleman Wong has won 5 of the last 10. Jenson Brooksby has won 5 of the last 10.

Wong's 73.6% behind the first serve (against 66.8% for Brooksby) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Wong gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Friday's Los Cabos quarterfinal pits Dalibor Svrcina against Denis Shapovalov on hard. Denis Shapovalov has won 4 of the last 10. Dalibor Svrcina is 5-5 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.7% versus 62.8% on first-serve points in Shapovalov's favor. The edge belongs to Shapovalov — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Friday's Washington quarterfinal pits Diana Shnaider against Liudmila Samsonova on hard. Diana Shnaider is 6-4 across recent matches. Liudmila Samsonova comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shnaider is exactly that — a lean.

Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Naomi Osaka meet in the quarterfinal at Washington on Friday. Naomi Osaka has won 8 of the last 10. Elisabetta Cocciaretto is 5-5 across recent matches.

Osaka's 71.1% behind the first serve (against 61.1% for Cocciaretto) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Osaka.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Bernard Tomic goes up against Cameron Norrie in the Los Cabos quarterfinal. Cameron Norrie comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Bernard Tomic is rolling — 6 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Cameron Norrie is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Norrie around 58%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Norrie is exactly that — a lean.

Elina Svitolina and Polina Kudermetova meet in the round of 16 at Washington on Friday. Elina Svitolina is 7-3 across recent matches. Polina Kudermetova is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Kudermetova comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Svitolina.