French Open predictions, May 25, 2026: Jones vs. Swiatek, Rybakina vs. Erjavec

Monday's French Open first round pits Emerson Jones against Iga Swiatek on clay. Iga Swiatek is rolling — 4 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Emerson Jones has won 4 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Iga Swiatek, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Emerson Jones. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Swiatek — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 64.6% versus 60% on first-serve points in Swiatek's favor. Anything other than a Swiatek win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Monday's French Open first round pits Elena Rybakina against Veronika Erjavec on clay. Elena Rybakina brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Veronika Erjavec comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Elena Rybakina has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Veronika Erjavec. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Rybakina — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.1% versus 55% on first-serve points in Rybakina's favor. If Rybakina plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Marton Fucsovics and Matteo Berrettini meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Matteo Berrettini limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Marton Fucsovics is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

The ledger favors Matteo Berrettini, 3-1 across their 4 meetings with Marton Fucsovics. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Berrettini — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 75.1% versus 70.9% on first-serve points in Berrettini's favor. If Berrettini plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Ben Shelton goes up against Daniel Merida Aguilar in the French Open first round. Ben Shelton is 7-3 across recent matches. Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Ben Shelton leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Shelton — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.1% versus 63.8% on first-serve points in Shelton's favor. Anything other than a Shelton win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Monday's French Open first round pits Diana Shnaider against Renata Zarazua on clay. Diana Shnaider has won 6 of the last 10. Renata Zarazua comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Diana Shnaider leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Shnaider — worth more than the overall number this week.

Shnaider's 62.8% behind the first serve (against 56.6% for Zarazua) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Anything other than a Shnaider win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Monday's French Open first round pits Hubert Hurkacz against Jaume Munar on clay. Hubert Hurkacz comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Jaume Munar comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Hubert Hurkacz, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Jaume Munar. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Hurkacz — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 75.9% of first-serve points to Munar's 67.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Anything other than a Hurkacz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Marcos Giron goes up against Yibing Wu in the French Open first round. Marcos Giron limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10. Yibing Wu has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

Yibing Wu leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Wu — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Wu needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Monday's French Open first round pits Cristina Bucsa against Susan Bandecchi on clay. Susan Bandecchi is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Cristina Bucsa has dropped 4 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

Susan Bandecchi leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Bandecchi — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Bandecchi has been winning 62.9% of first-serve points to Bucsa's 58.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. If Bandecchi plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Arthur Rinderknech and Jurij Rodionov meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Arthur Rinderknech is 5-5 across recent matches. Jurij Rodionov is 7-3 across recent matches.

Arthur Rinderknech leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Rinderknech — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Rinderknech has been winning 74.4% of first-serve points to Rodionov's 69.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Anything other than a Rinderknech win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Adrian Mannarino goes up against Ugo Humbert in the French Open first round. Ugo Humbert has won 6 of the last 10. Adrian Mannarino limps in on a 6-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

The ledger favors Adrian Mannarino, 3-2 across their 5 meetings with Ugo Humbert. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Humbert — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. If Humbert plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Jaqueline Cristian and Kamilla Rakhimova meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Jaqueline Cristian brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Kamilla Rakhimova has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Rakhimova — worth more than the overall number this week.

Jaqueline Cristian simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Cristian win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Eva Lys goes up against Petra Marcinko in the French Open first round. Petra Marcinko is rolling — 5 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Eva Lys comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Eva Lys, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Petra Marcinko. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Lys — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Marcinko has been winning 64.1% of first-serve points to Lys's 58.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Anything other than a Marcinko win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Monday's French Open first round pits Aleksandar Kovacevic against Rafael Jodar on clay. Rafael Jodar is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Aleksandar Kovacevic is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.

Rafael Jodar has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Aleksandar Kovacevic. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Jodar — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Jodar — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Anastasia Zakharova goes up against Karolina Muchova in the French Open first round. Karolina Muchova is 8-2 across recent matches. Anastasia Zakharova is 5-5 across recent matches.

Karolina Muchova has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Anastasia Zakharova. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Muchova — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Muchova has been winning 64.2% of first-serve points to Zakharova's 59.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Muchova should have enough here, though Zakharova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Maja Chwalinska and Qinwen Zheng meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Qinwen Zheng comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Maja Chwalinska comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Maja Chwalinska has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Qinwen Zheng. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Chwalinska — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.9% versus 57.3% on first-serve points in Zheng's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zheng.

Rinky Hijikata and Tommy Paul meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Tommy Paul brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Rinky Hijikata is 4-6 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Tommy Paul, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Rinky Hijikata. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Paul — worth more than the overall number this week.

Tommy Paul is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Paul around 70%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Paul.

Jesper De Jong and Stan Wawrinka meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Stan Wawrinka comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Jesper De Jong is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (1 of the last 10).

Jesper De Jong has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Stan Wawrinka. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Jong — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Wawrinka should have enough here, though Jong has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Monday's French Open first round pits Daria Kasatkina against Zeynep Sonmez on clay. Daria Kasatkina comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Zeynep Sonmez is 6-4 across recent matches.

Daria Kasatkina has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Zeynep Sonmez. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Kasatkina — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Kasatkina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Monday's French Open first round pits Gael Monfils against Hugo Gaston on clay. Gael Monfils has won 3 of the last 10. Hugo Gaston is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (2 of the last 10).

The ledger favors Hugo Gaston, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Gael Monfils. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Gaston — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.9% versus 65.7% on first-serve points in Monfils's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Monfils.

Monday's French Open first round pits Casper Ruud against Roman Safiullin on clay. Casper Ruud has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Roman Safiullin comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Casper Ruud leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Ruud — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Ruud.

Jil Teichmann and Liudmila Samsonova meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Liudmila Samsonova comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Jil Teichmann is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The ledger favors Jil Teichmann, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Liudmila Samsonova. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Teichmann — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.2% versus 61.5% on first-serve points in Samsonova's favor. Samsonova should have enough here, though Teichmann has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Kaitlin Quevedo goes up against Leolia Jeanjean in the French Open first round. Kaitlin Quevedo is 4-6 across recent matches. Leolia Jeanjean comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.

Kaitlin Quevedo has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Leolia Jeanjean. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Quevedo — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. The edge belongs to Quevedo — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Camila Osorio goes up against Ekaterina Alexandrova in the French Open first round. Ekaterina Alexandrova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10. Camila Osorio has won 6 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Camila Osorio, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Ekaterina Alexandrova. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Osorio — worth more than the overall number this week.

Alexandrova's 66.7% behind the first serve (against 61.4% for Osorio) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Alexandrova should have enough here, though Osorio has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Panna Udvardy and Viktorija Golubic meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Panna Udvardy is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Viktorija Golubic is 3-7 across recent matches.

Viktorija Golubic has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Panna Udvardy. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Golubic — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 61.7% versus 58% on first-serve points in Udvardy's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Udvardy.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Andrea Pellegrino goes up against Flavio Cobolli in the French Open first round. Flavio Cobolli has won 7 of the last 10. Andrea Pellegrino brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Flavio Cobolli has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Andrea Pellegrino. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Cobolli — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.8% versus 65.1% on first-serve points in Cobolli's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Cobolli.

Monday's French Open first round pits Aleksandar Vukic against Raphael Collignon on clay. Aleksandar Vukic has won 4 of the last 10. Raphael Collignon comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Raphael Collignon has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 2 against Aleksandar Vukic. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Collignon — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Vukic should have enough here, though Collignon has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Talia Gibson and Yulia Putintseva meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Talia Gibson comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Yulia Putintseva has won 6 of the last 10.

Yulia Putintseva leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Putintseva — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Gibson has been winning 63.8% of first-serve points to Putintseva's 59.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Gibson — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Anastasia Potapova goes up against Maya Joint in the French Open first round. Maya Joint is searching for form, having lost 7 in a row (2 of the last 10). Anastasia Potapova brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.

Anastasia Potapova leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Potapova — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Joint.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Eliot Spizzirri goes up against Frances Tiafoe in the French Open first round. Eliot Spizzirri is 6-4 across recent matches. Frances Tiafoe comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Frances Tiafoe, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Eliot Spizzirri. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Tiafoe — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. The edge belongs to Spizzirri — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Hanyu Guo and Mccartney Kessler meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Mccartney Kessler has won 5 of the last 10. Hanyu Guo has won 2 of the last 10.

Mccartney Kessler has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Hanyu Guo. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Kessler — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Kessler has been winning 62.9% of first-serve points to Guo's 56.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kessler fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Elise Mertens and Tatjana Maria meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Elise Mertens is 6-4 across recent matches. Tatjana Maria is 5-5 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Elise Mertens, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Tatjana Maria. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Mertens — worth more than the overall number this week.

Elise Mertens simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Mertens fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Monday's French Open first round pits Anna Bondar against Elina Svitolina on clay. Anna Bondar is 7-3 across recent matches. Elina Svitolina has won 6 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Elina Svitolina leads the head-to-head 3-2, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-1 Svitolina — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Bondar gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Ignacio Buse in the French Open first round. Andrey Rublev brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Ignacio Buse has won 6 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Rublev — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Rublev gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Monday's French Open first round pits Alycia Parks against Leylah Fernandez on clay. Leylah Fernandez comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alycia Parks comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Alycia Parks leads the head-to-head 2-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Parks — worth more than the overall number this week.

Leylah Fernandez is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Fernandez around 57%. Little separates them; Fernandez gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Jenson Brooksby goes up against Mariano Navone in the French Open first round. Jenson Brooksby has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Mariano Navone has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Mariano Navone has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Jenson Brooksby. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Navone — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 67% versus 62.6% on first-serve points in Brooksby's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Brooksby fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Monday's French Open first round pits Terence Atmane against Thanasi Kokkinakis on clay. Thanasi Kokkinakis is 5-5 across recent matches. Terence Atmane has won 5 of the last 10.

Thanasi Kokkinakis has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Terence Atmane. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Kokkinakis — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Kokkinakis gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Monday's French Open first round pits Botic Van De Zandschulp against Francisco Cerundolo on clay. Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10. Botic Van De Zandschulp comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Francisco Cerundolo, 4-0 across their 4 meetings with Botic Van De Zandschulp. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Cerundolo — worth more than the overall number this week.

Francisco Cerundolo simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Cerundolo gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Monday's French Open first round pits Julia Grabher against Rebecca Sramkova on clay. Rebecca Sramkova has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Julia Grabher has won 2 of the last 10.

Julia Grabher has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Rebecca Sramkova. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Grabher — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sramkova is exactly that — a lean.

Ella Seidel and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Jelena Ostapenko comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Ella Seidel is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (1 of the last 10).

The ledger favors Jelena Ostapenko, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Ella Seidel. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Ostapenko — worth more than the overall number this week.

Jelena Ostapenko is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ostapenko around 54%. Little separates them; Ostapenko gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Alexander Shevchenko in the French Open first round. Alex Michelsen comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Alexander Shevchenko comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Alex Michelsen leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Michelsen — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Michelsen gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Monday's French Open first round pits Akasha Urhobo against Katie Boulter on clay. Akasha Urhobo has won 1 of the last 10. Katie Boulter is 5-5 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Katie Boulter, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Akasha Urhobo. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Boulter — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Urhobo fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Dayana Yastremska and Jasmine Paolini meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Dayana Yastremska is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Jasmine Paolini comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Jasmine Paolini has had the better of this rivalry, winning 6 of 7 against Dayana Yastremska. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Paolini — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Yastremska gets the nod on the finest of margins.