Week in picks — October 5–11, 2026
A week the model would happily sign again: Maiden went 171-86 (66.5%) across 257 graded picks (college football 32-13, NFL 8-2, tennis 122-69, UFC 4-0, cricket 5-2).
Hynek Barton at 51% in Hynek Barton vs Max Hans Rehberg. The market had the other side; we published the upset call anyway, and it landed.
Toledo Rockets at 90% in Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets. It lost. It stays on the record like everything else we publish.
College Football
In college football we went 32-13 (71.1%) over 45 graded games. Every game below links its full result and pick review.
- Air Force Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies✓
- Arizona Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers✓
- Ball State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats✓
- Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets✗
- Central Michigan Chippewas at Ohio Bobcats✓
- Charlotte 49ers at North Texas Mean Green✓
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Marshall Thundering Herd✗
- Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets✗
- Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona State Sun Devils✓
- Houston Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats✗
- Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans✓
- Indiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers✓
- James Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern Eagles✓
- Kansas Jayhawks at Utah Utes✓
- Kent State Golden Flashes at Western Michigan Broncos✓
- Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs✓
- LSU Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats✗
- Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes✓
- Miami (OH) RedHawks at Massachusetts Minutemen✓
- Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers✗
- North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers✗
- North Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels✓
- Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores✓
- Rice Owls at East Carolina Pirates✓
- Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons✓
- San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers✓
- South Carolina Gamecocks at Florida Gators✗
- Stanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Fighting Irish✓
- Syracuse Orange at Virginia Cavaliers✓
- Tennessee Volunteers at Arkansas Razorbacks✓
- Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners✗
- Tulane Green Wave at Army Black Knights✓
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen✓
- UAB Blazers at Memphis Tigers✓
- UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks✗
- USC Trojans at Penn State Nittany Lions✗
- Virginia Tech Hokies at California Golden Bears✗
NFL
In the NFL we went 8-2 (80.0%) over 10 graded games. Every game below links its full result and pick review.
- Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins✓
- Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers✓
- Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals✓
- Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans✓
- Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers✓
- Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots✓
- Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints✓
- Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars✓
- San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks✗
Tennis
Tennis carried 122-69 (63.9%) over 191 graded picks, accuracy score 0.229 — lower is better, 0.25 is a coin flip; the sim called 86 exact set scores on the nose; upset calls against the market went 3-3.
October 5, 2026
Picks went 16-5 · 8 exact scores called
October 6, 2026
Picks went 14-7 · 11 exact scores called
October 7, 2026
Picks went 22-15 · 15 exact scores called
October 8, 2026
Picks went 22-18 · 19 exact scores called
October 9, 2026
Picks went 20-12 · 14 exact scores called
October 10, 2026
Picks went 20-6 · 16 exact scores called
October 11, 2026
Picks went 8-6 · 3 exact scores called
UFC
UFC went 4-0 over 4 graded fight picks — the cage was kind this week. Every fight below links its full result and pick review.
Cricket
Cricket leans went 5-2 over 7 graded matches, priced pre-toss as always. Each match below links its full review.
Frequently asked questions
- How did Maiden's sports picks do in the week of October 5–11, 2026?
- Maiden went 171-86 (66.5%) across 257 graded picks in the week of October 5–11, 2026 (college football 32-13, NFL 8-2, tennis 122-69, UFC 4-0, cricket 5-2). Every pick is graded against the number we published before the event.
- What was Maiden's best call in the week of October 5–11, 2026?
- Hynek Barton at 51% in Hynek Barton vs Max Hans Rehberg — an upset call against the market favorite that landed.
- What was Maiden's worst miss in the week of October 5–11, 2026?
- Toledo Rockets at 90% in Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets — the strongest published number that lost. It remains on the public record.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. This review is generated straight from the graded record.