Week in picks — September 28 – October 4, 2026
A week the model would happily sign again: Maiden went 179-92 (66.1%) across 271 graded picks (college football 31-12, NFL 7-4, tennis 137-73, UFC 4-1, cricket 0-2).
Alex Bolt at 56% in Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny. The market had the other side; we published the upset call anyway, and it landed.
Elena Rybakina at 90% in Alina Charaeva vs Elena Rybakina. It lost. It stays on the record like everything else we publish.
College Football
In college football we went 31-12 (72.1%) over 43 graded games. Every game below links its full result and pick review.
- Akron Zips at Central Michigan Chippewas✓
- Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs✓
- Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas A&M Aggies✓
- Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns✓
- Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers✓
- Baylor Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils✗
- Boston College Eagles at SMU Mustangs✓
- Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawks✗
- California Golden Bears at UNLV Rebels✓
- Cincinnati Bearcats at Arizona Wildcats✓
- Eastern Michigan Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen✗
- Fresno State Bulldogs at Washington State Cougars✗
- Indiana Hoosiers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights✓
- Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks✗
- Louisville Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack✗
- Marshall Thundering Herd at James Madison Dukes✓
- Maryland Terrapins at Nebraska Cornhuskers✓
- Memphis Tigers at Charlotte 49ers✓
- Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers✓
- Michigan Wolverines at Minnesota Golden Gophers✗
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Kansas Jayhawks✓
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels✓
- Ohio Bobcats at Kent State Golden Flashes✓
- Ohio State Buckeyes at Iowa Hawkeyes✓
- Old Dominion Monarchs at Georgia State Panthers✗
- Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini✗
- San José State Spartans at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors✗
- Stanford Cardinal at Wake Forest Demon Deacons✓
- Temple Owls at South Florida Bulls✗
- Texas Tech Red Raiders at Colorado Buffaloes✓
- Toledo Rockets at Ball State Cardinals✓
- UCF Knights at Houston Cougars✓
- UL Monroe Warhawks at South Alabama Jaguars✓
- Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos✓
- UTEP Miners at New Mexico Lobos✓
- UTSA Roadrunners at Rice Owls✓
- Vanderbilt Commodores at Georgia Bulldogs✓
- Washington Huskies at USC Trojans✓
- West Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State Cyclones✓
- Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo Bulls✓
- Wyoming Cowboys at North Dakota State Bison✓
NFL
In the NFL we went 7-4 (63.6%) over 11 graded games. Every game below links its full result and pick review.
- Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants✓
- Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans✗
- Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers✓
- Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers✗
- Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders✓
- Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks✓
- Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles✓
- Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings✓
- New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills✗
- Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens✓
Tennis
Tennis carried 137-73 (65.2%) over 210 graded picks, accuracy score 0.216 — lower is better, 0.25 is a coin flip; the sim called 93 exact set scores on the nose; upset calls against the market went 2-3.
September 28, 2026
Picks went 12-3 · 9 exact scores called
September 29, 2026
Picks went 12-6 · 9 exact scores called
September 30, 2026
Picks went 27-18 · 20 exact scores called
October 1, 2026
Picks went 28-19 · 18 exact scores called
October 2, 2026
Picks went 28-10 · 21 exact scores called
October 3, 2026
Picks went 20-7 · 10 exact scores called
October 4, 2026
Picks went 10-10 · 6 exact scores called
UFC
UFC went 4-1 over 5 graded fight picks — the cage was kind this week. Every fight below links its full result and pick review.
Cricket
Cricket leans went 0-2 over 2 graded matches, priced pre-toss as always. Each match below links its full review.
Frequently asked questions
- How did Maiden's sports picks do in the week of September 28 – October 4, 2026?
- Maiden went 179-92 (66.1%) across 271 graded picks in the week of September 28 – October 4, 2026 (college football 31-12, NFL 7-4, tennis 137-73, UFC 4-1, cricket 0-2). Every pick is graded against the number we published before the event.
- What was Maiden's best call in the week of September 28 – October 4, 2026?
- Alex Bolt at 56% in Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny — an upset call against the market favorite that landed.
- What was Maiden's worst miss in the week of September 28 – October 4, 2026?
- Elena Rybakina at 90% in Alina Charaeva vs Elena Rybakina — the strongest published number that lost. It remains on the public record.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. This review is generated straight from the graded record.