Drew's Desk: the whole Week 4 board, and the Swamp gets Ole Miss
Drew is a college football contributor. These are his own picks, not the model's, and they are graded separately from Maiden's record.
You are reading Week 4, 2026. Drew’s latest column is Week 9, 2026.

58 picks. Our model agrees on 41 and takes the other side on 5. Our model has no call on 11 of them. One pick is against the spread, which we show but do not grade.
Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, children of all ages, we are back. Week 4 of college football. Recapping Week 3, we hit 40 of our 51 straight-up calls, 78.4 percent. Not terrible, but man, were there some upsets. And some that we didn't see coming. I see you, West Virginia. That puts us at 151 and 28 on the season, 84.4 percent. But Week 4, guess what? We see some even bigger upsets, and we see a week that will rattle college football.
Drew’s Week 4, 2026 picks
Liberty Flames
No call
- Army at TempleLost ✗
Temple Owls
Army Black Knights, 62% to win
- Navy at UABLost ✗
Navy Midshipmen
Navy Midshipmen, 71% to win
Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana Hoosiers, 95% to win
Clemson Tigers
Clemson Tigers, 58% to win
- Texas at TennesseeWon ✓
Texas Longhorns
No call
- Illinois at Ohio StateAgainst the spread
Ohio State Buckeyes against the spread
Ohio State Buckeyes, 92% to win
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech Red Raiders, 97% to win
Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals, 79% to win
- Colorado at BaylorWon ✓
Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears, 76% to win
Virginia Tech Hokies
Virginia Tech Hokies, 67% to win
Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets, 70% to win
UTSA Roadrunners
UTSA Roadrunners, 83% to win
- UNLV at AkronWon ✓
UNLV Rebels
UNLV Rebels, 73% to win
- Ball State at Kent StateLost ✗
Ball State Cardinals
No call
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats, 80% to win
- UCLA at MarylandWon ✓
UCLA Bruins
No call
- Notre Dame at PurdueWon ✓
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 96% to win
Georgia State Panthers
Georgia State Panthers, 75% to win
- Hawai'i at WyomingLost ✗
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, 57% to win
- Oklahoma at GeorgiaWon ✓
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia Bulldogs, 76% to win
- Ole Miss at FloridaWon ✓
Florida Gators
No call
- Utah at Iowa StateWon ✓
Utah Utes
Utah Utes, 64% to win
- Iowa at MichiganLost ✗
Michigan Wolverines
No call
- TCU at UCFWon ✓
UCF Knights
No call
Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos, 55% to win
- UConn at Miami (OH)Lost ✗
UConn Huskies
No call
New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos, 72% to win
Houston Cougars
Houston Cougars, 72% to win
- Vanderbilt at AuburnWon ✓
Auburn Tigers
Auburn Tigers, 60% to win
- Wisconsin at Penn StateLost ✗
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions, 88% to win
Nebraska Cornhuskers
No call
South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls, 92% to win
- Delaware at VirginiaWon ✓
Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers, 89% to win
James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes, 65% to win
Miami Hurricanes
Miami Hurricanes, 97% to win
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, 68% to win
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide, 84% to win
Cincinnati Bearcats
Kansas State Wildcats, 55% to win
West Virginia Mountaineers
West Virginia Mountaineers, 71% to win
Tulane Green Wave
Tulane Green Wave, 88% to win
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves, 60% to win
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 78% to win
- Texas A&M at LSUWon ✓
LSU Tigers
No call
- Oregon at USCLost ✗
USC Trojans
No call
Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats, 56% to win
- Troy at Utah StateLost ✗
Troy Trojans
Utah State Aggies, 58% to win
NC State Wolfpack
NC State Wolfpack, 82% to win
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs, 56% to win
- Tulsa at ArkansasWon ✓
Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas Razorbacks, 77% to win
Florida Atlantic Owls
Florida Atlantic Owls, 67% to win
SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs, 96% to win
- Oregon State at UTEPWon ✓
Oregon State Beavers
Oregon State Beavers, 62% to win
Massachusetts Minutemen
Sacramento State Hornets, 58% to win
- Rice at Fresno StateWon ✓
Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State Bulldogs, 85% to win
- Georgia Tech at StanfordLost ✗
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 69% to win
- Air Force at NevadaWon ✓
Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons, 60% to win
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Washington Huskies, 72% to win
Liberty Flames at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Drew’s pick: Liberty Flames
Let's start Thursday. We have Liberty traveling to Coastal Carolina. We have Liberty on the road.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
Army Black Knights at Temple Owls
Drew’s pick: Temple Owls
Army traveling to Temple. We have Temple with the upset.
Army Black Knights, 62% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.
Navy Midshipmen at UAB Blazers
Drew’s pick: Navy Midshipmen
We have Navy traveling to UAB. Give us Navy on the road.
Navy Midshipmen, 71% to win — the same side Drew has.
Northwestern Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers
Drew’s pick: Indiana Hoosiers
We have Northwestern, coming off the molly whopping of Colorado, traveling to Indiana. Give us the Hoosiers, baby.
Indiana Hoosiers, 95% to win — the same side Drew has.
Clemson Tigers at California Golden Bears
Drew’s pick: Clemson Tigers
Then the Friday night game of the night. We have the Clemson Tigers traveling to Cal to face the Bears. Clemson is only a 1.5 point favorite. But give us Clemson, baby.
Clemson Tigers, 58% to win — the same side Drew has.
Texas Longhorns at Tennessee Volunteers
Drew’s pick: Texas Longhorns
We are going to a jam-packed Saturday. Weekend starts off with number 1 Texas traveling to number 14 Tennessee. Texas is only a 4 point favorite, but you know what? It should be a whole lot more. Give us the Longhorns on the road, baby.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
Illinois Fighting Illini at Ohio State Buckeyes
Drew’s pick: Ohio State Buckeyes against the spread
We have the Fighting Illini of Illinois traveling to Ohio State. Give us the Buckeyes, baby. And give us the points.
Ohio State Buckeyes, 92% to win — our call is on the win, Drew’s is on the margin, so the two are not the same question.
Sam Houston Bearkats at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Drew’s pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders
We have Sam Houston traveling to Texas Tech, who seem to be utilizing their backup quarterback, Tommy Castellanos. Give us Texas Tech, baby, out in Lubbock.
Texas Tech Red Raiders, 97% to win — the same side Drew has.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Louisville Cardinals
Drew’s pick: Louisville Cardinals
Here's a sneaker. Wake Forest traveling to Louisville, coming off the upset of SMU. Give us Louisville, baby.
Louisville Cardinals, 79% to win — the same side Drew has.
Colorado Buffaloes at Baylor Bears
Drew’s pick: Baylor Bears
We have Colorado traveling to Baylor. Colorado could not stop the run, they could not stop the pass, and they're not going to stop Baylor. Give us Baylor, baby.
Baylor Bears, 76% to win — the same side Drew has.
Virginia Tech Hokies at Boston College Eagles
Drew’s pick: Virginia Tech Hokies
We have Virginia Tech traveling to Boston College. James Franklin has Virginia Tech looking like a whole brand new team this season. That James Franklin energy has taken over the Hokies. Give us the Hokies on the road, baby.
Virginia Tech Hokies, 67% to win — the same side Drew has.
San Diego State Aztecs at Toledo Rockets
Drew’s pick: Toledo Rockets
We have San Diego State traveling to the Glass Bowl in Toledo. This is going to be one of the closer games of the week. Give us Toledo at home.
Toledo Rockets, 70% to win — the same side Drew has.
Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners
Drew’s pick: UTSA Roadrunners
We have Colorado State traveling to UTSA, baby. The University of Texas at San Antonio. We like UTSA at home.
UTSA Roadrunners, 83% to win — the same side Drew has.
UNLV Rebels at Akron Zips
Drew’s pick: UNLV Rebels
We have UNLV traveling to Akron. Give us UNLV, as Dan Mullen and UNLV go 2 and 2 on the season, baby.
UNLV Rebels, 73% to win — the same side Drew has.
Ball State Cardinals at Kent State Golden Flashes
Drew’s pick: Ball State Cardinals
We have Ball State traveling to Kent State. The battle of two of the worst teams in FBS. It's a toss-up, but you know what? Give us Ball State on the road, baby.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
South Alabama Jaguars at Kentucky Wildcats
Drew’s pick: Kentucky Wildcats
We have South Alabama heading to Kentucky. We like Kentucky at home.
Kentucky Wildcats, 80% to win — the same side Drew has.
UCLA Bruins at Maryland Terrapins
Drew’s pick: UCLA Bruins
In another slobberknocker, 1.30, UCLA travels to Maryland. UCLA is undefeated. Maryland coming off a heartbreaking loss to Virginia Tech. Who prevails in this Big Ten matchup? Give us UCLA on the road, baby.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Purdue Boilermakers
Drew’s pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
We have Notre Dame traveling to Purdue and Barry Odom. Upset alert. Notre Dame is going to struggle on the road in West Lafayette, Indiana. But you know what? They'll find a way to get the dub, baby. Give us Notre Dame.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 96% to win — the same side Drew has.
Northern Illinois Huskies at Georgia State Panthers
Drew’s pick: Georgia State Panthers
We have Northern Illinois traveling to Georgia State in Atlanta. Give us Georgia State, baby. Afterparty at Magic City. Get them wings.
Georgia State Panthers, 75% to win — the same side Drew has.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Wyoming Cowboys
Drew’s pick: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
We have Hawai'i traveling to Wyoming. Will Hawai'i struggle on the mainland? Absolutely not. Look for Hawai'i to get the win on the road.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, 57% to win — the same side Drew has.
Oklahoma Sooners at Georgia Bulldogs
Drew’s pick: Georgia Bulldogs
We have a big SEC matchup. The Sooners of Oklahoma traveling to Georgia to face the Bulldogs, baby. Give us Georgia at home, but look for Oklahoma to keep it close in the second half.
Georgia Bulldogs, 76% to win — the same side Drew has.
Ole Miss Rebels at Florida Gators
Drew’s pick: Florida Gators
The game of the week. Well, at least one of the two games of the week. Ole Miss traveling to Florida. Ole Miss, coming off the upset of LSU, are now ranked fourth in the nation, against the 21st ranked Gators. The Swamp will be rocking. Look for Jon Sumrall to get a signature win in his first year at Florida, baby. Give us the Gators with the upset.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
Utah Utes at Iowa State Cyclones
Drew’s pick: Utah Utes
We have number 15 Utah traveling to Iowa State. Give us Utah on the road, baby.
Utah Utes, 64% to win — the same side Drew has.
Iowa Hawkeyes at Michigan Wolverines
Drew’s pick: Michigan Wolverines
We have number 17 Iowa traveling to number 18 Michigan. This is going to be a slobberknocker. Look for Michigan to pull off the late victory at home.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
TCU Horned Frogs at UCF Knights
Drew’s pick: UCF Knights
We have a Big 12 battle at the Bounce House in Orlando as TCU and the Horned Frogs travel to face the Knights. The Knights haven't shown us much. TCU hasn't shown much either, but you know what? Give us UCF at home, baby, with a big win for Scott Frost in year two.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
Boise State Broncos at Western Michigan Broncos
Drew’s pick: Boise State Broncos
The next game, we have Boise State traveling to Western Michigan. We have Boise State on the road.
Boise State Broncos, 55% to win — the same side Drew has.
UConn Huskies at Miami (OH) RedHawks
Drew’s pick: UConn Huskies
UConn traveling to Miami of Ohio. Miami of Ohio is favored by three and a half points in Oxford, Ohio. Give us UConn on the road, baby, with the upset.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies
Drew’s pick: New Mexico Lobos
We have New Mexico at New Mexico State, baby. Coach Eck has New Mexico rolling. Give us New Mexico, baby, on the road.
New Mexico Lobos, 72% to win — the same side Drew has.
Houston Cougars at Georgia Southern Eagles
Drew’s pick: Houston Cougars
We have Houston traveling to Georgia Southern. This could be another possible upset, baby, but we're going with the Cougars barely on the road.
Houston Cougars, 72% to win — the same side Drew has.
Vanderbilt Commodores at Auburn Tigers
Drew’s pick: Auburn Tigers
We have an SEC battle with Vanderbilt, coming off that last minute, last second victory over NC State with a fumble recovery in the end zone, traveling to Auburn, coming off a loss to Florida. We like Auburn, baby. Vanderbilt is not the same team without Diego Pavia. Auburn wins at home.
Auburn Tigers, 60% to win — the same side Drew has.
Wisconsin Badgers at Penn State Nittany Lions
Drew’s pick: Penn State Nittany Lions
Wisconsin traveling to number 13 Penn State, who are rolling like 2000s Limp Bizkit under Matt Campbell. We like Penn State at home at Beaver Stadium, baby.
Penn State Nittany Lions, 88% to win — the same side Drew has.
Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan State Spartans
Drew’s pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers
We have another Big Ten battle as Matt Rhule and the Nebraska Cornhuskers travel to Michigan State to face the Spartans and first-year head coach Pat Fitzgerald. We like Nebraska on the road.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
South Florida Bulls at Bowling Green Falcons
Drew’s pick: South Florida Bulls
We have South Florida looking to stay undefeated against Bowling Green. Give us South Florida, baby.
South Florida Bulls, 92% to win — the same side Drew has.
Delaware Blue Hens at Virginia Cavaliers
Drew’s pick: Virginia Cavaliers
We have Virginia, coming off a heartbreaking loss to West Virginia at home, against Delaware. Look for Virginia to get it right back on track, baby. Virginia gets the dub.
Virginia Cavaliers, 89% to win — the same side Drew has.
James Madison Dukes at Old Dominion Monarchs
Drew’s pick: James Madison Dukes
Next, we have James Madison traveling to Old Dominion. If you like points, you're gonna love this game. Even though Old Dominion's at home, James Madison has shown us nothing to doubt their abilities, as they are rolling with Sun Belt Billy, Billy Napier, in his first year, showing us why Florida hired him to begin with. Give us James Madison on the road.
James Madison Dukes, 65% to win — the same side Drew has.
Central Michigan Chippewas at Miami Hurricanes
Drew’s pick: Miami Hurricanes
We have Central Michigan traveling in to number 6 Miami. Central Michigan should just wave the flag right now. Wave it, baby. The Hurricanes will come in Category 5 at home and destroy Central Michigan. It's gonna be ugly.
Miami Hurricanes, 97% to win — the same side Drew has.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Charlotte 49ers
Drew’s pick: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Next, we have the Ragin' Cajuns of Louisiana traveling to Charlotte. Charlotte, sorry. You're getting the loss. Give us Louisiana.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, 68% to win — the same side Drew has.
South Carolina Gamecocks at Alabama Crimson Tide
Drew’s pick: Alabama Crimson Tide
Another SEC battle as South Carolina travels to Alabama. South Carolina looked good in spurts against Mississippi State last week, and Alabama did not look as great against Florida State even though they put up 50 points. Give us Alabama at home, and look for the hot seat to be turned up on Shane Beamer after the game.
Alabama Crimson Tide, 84% to win — the same side Drew has.
Kansas State Wildcats at Cincinnati Bearcats
Drew’s pick: Cincinnati Bearcats
Kansas State traveling to Cincinnati. This is going to be a slobberknocker. Which version of Avery Johnson shows up is the question. Give us Cincinnati with the upset at home.
Kansas State Wildcats, 55% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers
Drew’s pick: West Virginia Mountaineers
We have Oklahoma State, still riding high on the upset of Oregon, traveling to West Virginia, who had the biggest upset of Week 3. Rich Rod has West Virginia rolling like Pat White was back at quarterback and Pat McAfee was back at punter, baby. Give us West Virginia, making us feel like we're back in 2005, baby.
West Virginia Mountaineers, 71% to win — the same side Drew has.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Tulane Green Wave
Drew’s pick: Tulane Green Wave
We have Southern Miss traveling to Tulane. Give us Tulane.
Tulane Green Wave, 88% to win — the same side Drew has.
Kennesaw State Owls at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Drew’s pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves
We have Kennesaw State traveling to Arkansas State, baby. Give us Arkansas State at home.
Arkansas State Red Wolves, 60% to win — the same side Drew has.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Drew’s pick: Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Then we have Middle Tennessee traveling to Jacksonville State. Give us Jacksonville State at home in Jacksonville, Alabama, baby.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 78% to win — the same side Drew has.
Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers
Drew’s pick: LSU Tigers
We have another SEC banger as Texas A&M, coming off their loss last week, travel to LSU, fighting to survive after their loss to Ole Miss. Is the hype around the Lane train legitimate? Absolutely, baby. Give us the Tigers at home.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
Oregon Ducks at USC Trojans
Drew’s pick: USC Trojans
In our second game of the week, the Oregon Ducks travel to USC. Is this the year that Lincoln Riley breaks through at USC? I think it is, baby. Gary Patterson's defense, little shaky, but they're playing better on both sides of the ball. Give us the Trojans at home at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, baby.
Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.
Arizona Wildcats at Washington State Cougars
Drew’s pick: Arizona Wildcats
We have Arizona traveling to Washington State. Give us Arizona.
Arizona Wildcats, 56% to win — the same side Drew has.
Troy Trojans at Utah State Aggies
Drew’s pick: Troy Trojans
We have Troy traveling to Utah State. Utah State still winless on the season. And you know what? They're going to stay winless, baby. Give us Troy on the road.
Utah State Aggies, 58% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.
App State Mountaineers at NC State Wolfpack
Drew’s pick: NC State Wolfpack
We have App State traveling to NC State, still reeling from the last second fumble in the end zone by C.J. Bailey. But they're going to win at home, baby. And they're going to bounce back to 2 and 2.
NC State Wolfpack, 82% to win — the same side Drew has.
Missouri Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Drew’s pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs
We have number 19 Missouri traveling to number 24 Mississippi State. What is in the water in Mississippi State, baby? Kamario Taylor is looking like a legitimate first round pick, baby. Give us Mississippi State. Kamario Taylor and the Bulldogs.
Mississippi State Bulldogs, 56% to win — the same side Drew has.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Arkansas Razorbacks
Drew’s pick: Arkansas Razorbacks
We have Tulsa traveling to Arkansas. Give us the Razorbacks, baby.
Arkansas Razorbacks, 77% to win — the same side Drew has.
Florida Atlantic Owls at UL Monroe Warhawks
Drew’s pick: Florida Atlantic Owls
We have FAU going to UL Monroe. FAU and the Owls, baby, move to 3 and 1 on the season.
Florida Atlantic Owls, 67% to win — the same side Drew has.
Missouri State Bears at SMU Mustangs
Drew’s pick: SMU Mustangs
Missouri State travels to SMU, who are looking to take out their frustrations after being upset by Louisville last week. Look for SMU to roll.
SMU Mustangs, 96% to win — the same side Drew has.
Oregon State Beavers at UTEP Miners
Drew’s pick: Oregon State Beavers
We have Oregon State traveling to UTEP, baby. The University of Texas at El Paso. Give us Oregon State on the road in the Sun Bowl, baby.
Oregon State Beavers, 62% to win — the same side Drew has.
Massachusetts Minutemen at Sacramento State Hornets
Drew’s pick: Massachusetts Minutemen
We have UMass. UMass, ladies and gentlemen, looking to stay undefeated on the road at Sacramento State. Give us UMass.
Sacramento State Hornets, 58% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.
Rice Owls at Fresno State Bulldogs
Drew’s pick: Fresno State Bulldogs
We have Rice traveling to Fresno State. Give us Fresno State, baby.
Fresno State Bulldogs, 85% to win — the same side Drew has.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Stanford Cardinal
Drew’s pick: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
We have Georgia Tech, reeling, traveling to Stanford. Give us Tech, baby, on the road.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 69% to win — the same side Drew has.
Air Force Falcons at Nevada Wolf Pack
Drew’s pick: Air Force Falcons
We have Air Force traveling to Nevada, who have looked off after they ran wild in Week 1. Give us Air Force.
Air Force Falcons, 60% to win — the same side Drew has.
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Washington Huskies
Drew’s pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers
And finally, the Saturday night late game, 11 p.m. on Fox. We have the Golden Gophers of Minnesota traveling to face the Huskies of Washington. Will P.J. Fleck continue to row the boat with the Gophers on the road? Why not? Give us Minnesota with the late night upset.
Washington Huskies, 72% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.
It's gonna be fun. Grab the Doritos, grab the Coronas, let's have a good time, baby. See you in Week 5.
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Every college football prediction our model published for Week 4, 2026 is on the Week 4, 2026 board.