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College Football · Week 4, 2026

Drew's Desk: the whole Week 4 board, and the Swamp gets Ole Miss

By Drew · September 24, 2026

Drew is a college football contributor. These are his own picks, not the model's, and they are graded separately from Maiden's record.

You are reading Week 4, 2026. Drew’s latest column is Week 9, 2026.

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Drew's Desk

58 picks. Our model agrees on 41 and takes the other side on 5. Our model has no call on 11 of them. One pick is against the spread, which we show but do not grade.

Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, children of all ages, we are back. Week 4 of college football. Recapping Week 3, we hit 40 of our 51 straight-up calls, 78.4 percent. Not terrible, but man, were there some upsets. And some that we didn't see coming. I see you, West Virginia. That puts us at 151 and 28 on the season, 84.4 percent. But Week 4, guess what? We see some even bigger upsets, and we see a week that will rattle college football.

Drew’s Week 4, 2026 picks

58 of 58 picks

Liberty Flames at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Drew’s pick: Liberty Flames

Let's start Thursday. We have Liberty traveling to Coastal Carolina. We have Liberty on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

Army Black Knights at Temple Owls

Drew’s pick: Temple Owls

Army traveling to Temple. We have Temple with the upset.

Where Maiden lands

Army Black Knights, 62% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.

Navy Midshipmen at UAB Blazers

Drew’s pick: Navy Midshipmen

We have Navy traveling to UAB. Give us Navy on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Navy Midshipmen, 71% to win — the same side Drew has.

Northwestern Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers

Drew’s pick: Indiana Hoosiers

We have Northwestern, coming off the molly whopping of Colorado, traveling to Indiana. Give us the Hoosiers, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Indiana Hoosiers, 95% to win — the same side Drew has.

Clemson Tigers at California Golden Bears

Drew’s pick: Clemson Tigers

Then the Friday night game of the night. We have the Clemson Tigers traveling to Cal to face the Bears. Clemson is only a 1.5 point favorite. But give us Clemson, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Clemson Tigers, 58% to win — the same side Drew has.

Texas Longhorns at Tennessee Volunteers

Drew’s pick: Texas Longhorns

We are going to a jam-packed Saturday. Weekend starts off with number 1 Texas traveling to number 14 Tennessee. Texas is only a 4 point favorite, but you know what? It should be a whole lot more. Give us the Longhorns on the road, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Ohio State Buckeyes

Drew’s pick: Ohio State Buckeyes against the spread

We have the Fighting Illini of Illinois traveling to Ohio State. Give us the Buckeyes, baby. And give us the points.

Where Maiden lands

Ohio State Buckeyes, 92% to win — our call is on the win, Drew’s is on the margin, so the two are not the same question.

Sam Houston Bearkats at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Drew’s pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders

We have Sam Houston traveling to Texas Tech, who seem to be utilizing their backup quarterback, Tommy Castellanos. Give us Texas Tech, baby, out in Lubbock.

Where Maiden lands

Texas Tech Red Raiders, 97% to win — the same side Drew has.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Louisville Cardinals

Drew’s pick: Louisville Cardinals

Here's a sneaker. Wake Forest traveling to Louisville, coming off the upset of SMU. Give us Louisville, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Louisville Cardinals, 79% to win — the same side Drew has.

Colorado Buffaloes at Baylor Bears

Drew’s pick: Baylor Bears

We have Colorado traveling to Baylor. Colorado could not stop the run, they could not stop the pass, and they're not going to stop Baylor. Give us Baylor, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Baylor Bears, 76% to win — the same side Drew has.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Boston College Eagles

Drew’s pick: Virginia Tech Hokies

We have Virginia Tech traveling to Boston College. James Franklin has Virginia Tech looking like a whole brand new team this season. That James Franklin energy has taken over the Hokies. Give us the Hokies on the road, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Virginia Tech Hokies, 67% to win — the same side Drew has.

San Diego State Aztecs at Toledo Rockets

Drew’s pick: Toledo Rockets

We have San Diego State traveling to the Glass Bowl in Toledo. This is going to be one of the closer games of the week. Give us Toledo at home.

Where Maiden lands

Toledo Rockets, 70% to win — the same side Drew has.

Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners

Drew’s pick: UTSA Roadrunners

We have Colorado State traveling to UTSA, baby. The University of Texas at San Antonio. We like UTSA at home.

Where Maiden lands

UTSA Roadrunners, 83% to win — the same side Drew has.

UNLV Rebels at Akron Zips

Drew’s pick: UNLV Rebels

We have UNLV traveling to Akron. Give us UNLV, as Dan Mullen and UNLV go 2 and 2 on the season, baby.

Where Maiden lands

UNLV Rebels, 73% to win — the same side Drew has.

Ball State Cardinals at Kent State Golden Flashes

Drew’s pick: Ball State Cardinals

We have Ball State traveling to Kent State. The battle of two of the worst teams in FBS. It's a toss-up, but you know what? Give us Ball State on the road, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

South Alabama Jaguars at Kentucky Wildcats

Drew’s pick: Kentucky Wildcats

We have South Alabama heading to Kentucky. We like Kentucky at home.

Where Maiden lands

Kentucky Wildcats, 80% to win — the same side Drew has.

UCLA Bruins at Maryland Terrapins

Drew’s pick: UCLA Bruins

In another slobberknocker, 1.30, UCLA travels to Maryland. UCLA is undefeated. Maryland coming off a heartbreaking loss to Virginia Tech. Who prevails in this Big Ten matchup? Give us UCLA on the road, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Purdue Boilermakers

Drew’s pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish

We have Notre Dame traveling to Purdue and Barry Odom. Upset alert. Notre Dame is going to struggle on the road in West Lafayette, Indiana. But you know what? They'll find a way to get the dub, baby. Give us Notre Dame.

Where Maiden lands

Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 96% to win — the same side Drew has.

Northern Illinois Huskies at Georgia State Panthers

Drew’s pick: Georgia State Panthers

We have Northern Illinois traveling to Georgia State in Atlanta. Give us Georgia State, baby. Afterparty at Magic City. Get them wings.

Where Maiden lands

Georgia State Panthers, 75% to win — the same side Drew has.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Wyoming Cowboys

Drew’s pick: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

We have Hawai'i traveling to Wyoming. Will Hawai'i struggle on the mainland? Absolutely not. Look for Hawai'i to get the win on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, 57% to win — the same side Drew has.

Oklahoma Sooners at Georgia Bulldogs

Drew’s pick: Georgia Bulldogs

We have a big SEC matchup. The Sooners of Oklahoma traveling to Georgia to face the Bulldogs, baby. Give us Georgia at home, but look for Oklahoma to keep it close in the second half.

Where Maiden lands

Georgia Bulldogs, 76% to win — the same side Drew has.

Ole Miss Rebels at Florida Gators

Drew’s pick: Florida Gators

The game of the week. Well, at least one of the two games of the week. Ole Miss traveling to Florida. Ole Miss, coming off the upset of LSU, are now ranked fourth in the nation, against the 21st ranked Gators. The Swamp will be rocking. Look for Jon Sumrall to get a signature win in his first year at Florida, baby. Give us the Gators with the upset.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

Utah Utes at Iowa State Cyclones

Drew’s pick: Utah Utes

We have number 15 Utah traveling to Iowa State. Give us Utah on the road, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Utah Utes, 64% to win — the same side Drew has.

Iowa Hawkeyes at Michigan Wolverines

Drew’s pick: Michigan Wolverines

We have number 17 Iowa traveling to number 18 Michigan. This is going to be a slobberknocker. Look for Michigan to pull off the late victory at home.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

TCU Horned Frogs at UCF Knights

Drew’s pick: UCF Knights

We have a Big 12 battle at the Bounce House in Orlando as TCU and the Horned Frogs travel to face the Knights. The Knights haven't shown us much. TCU hasn't shown much either, but you know what? Give us UCF at home, baby, with a big win for Scott Frost in year two.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

Boise State Broncos at Western Michigan Broncos

Drew’s pick: Boise State Broncos

The next game, we have Boise State traveling to Western Michigan. We have Boise State on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Boise State Broncos, 55% to win — the same side Drew has.

UConn Huskies at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Drew’s pick: UConn Huskies

UConn traveling to Miami of Ohio. Miami of Ohio is favored by three and a half points in Oxford, Ohio. Give us UConn on the road, baby, with the upset.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies

Drew’s pick: New Mexico Lobos

We have New Mexico at New Mexico State, baby. Coach Eck has New Mexico rolling. Give us New Mexico, baby, on the road.

Where Maiden lands

New Mexico Lobos, 72% to win — the same side Drew has.

Houston Cougars at Georgia Southern Eagles

Drew’s pick: Houston Cougars

We have Houston traveling to Georgia Southern. This could be another possible upset, baby, but we're going with the Cougars barely on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Houston Cougars, 72% to win — the same side Drew has.

Vanderbilt Commodores at Auburn Tigers

Drew’s pick: Auburn Tigers

We have an SEC battle with Vanderbilt, coming off that last minute, last second victory over NC State with a fumble recovery in the end zone, traveling to Auburn, coming off a loss to Florida. We like Auburn, baby. Vanderbilt is not the same team without Diego Pavia. Auburn wins at home.

Where Maiden lands

Auburn Tigers, 60% to win — the same side Drew has.

Wisconsin Badgers at Penn State Nittany Lions

Drew’s pick: Penn State Nittany Lions

Wisconsin traveling to number 13 Penn State, who are rolling like 2000s Limp Bizkit under Matt Campbell. We like Penn State at home at Beaver Stadium, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Penn State Nittany Lions, 88% to win — the same side Drew has.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan State Spartans

Drew’s pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers

We have another Big Ten battle as Matt Rhule and the Nebraska Cornhuskers travel to Michigan State to face the Spartans and first-year head coach Pat Fitzgerald. We like Nebraska on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

South Florida Bulls at Bowling Green Falcons

Drew’s pick: South Florida Bulls

We have South Florida looking to stay undefeated against Bowling Green. Give us South Florida, baby.

Where Maiden lands

South Florida Bulls, 92% to win — the same side Drew has.

Delaware Blue Hens at Virginia Cavaliers

Drew’s pick: Virginia Cavaliers

We have Virginia, coming off a heartbreaking loss to West Virginia at home, against Delaware. Look for Virginia to get it right back on track, baby. Virginia gets the dub.

Where Maiden lands

Virginia Cavaliers, 89% to win — the same side Drew has.

James Madison Dukes at Old Dominion Monarchs

Drew’s pick: James Madison Dukes

Next, we have James Madison traveling to Old Dominion. If you like points, you're gonna love this game. Even though Old Dominion's at home, James Madison has shown us nothing to doubt their abilities, as they are rolling with Sun Belt Billy, Billy Napier, in his first year, showing us why Florida hired him to begin with. Give us James Madison on the road.

Where Maiden lands

James Madison Dukes, 65% to win — the same side Drew has.

Central Michigan Chippewas at Miami Hurricanes

Drew’s pick: Miami Hurricanes

We have Central Michigan traveling in to number 6 Miami. Central Michigan should just wave the flag right now. Wave it, baby. The Hurricanes will come in Category 5 at home and destroy Central Michigan. It's gonna be ugly.

Where Maiden lands

Miami Hurricanes, 97% to win — the same side Drew has.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Charlotte 49ers

Drew’s pick: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Next, we have the Ragin' Cajuns of Louisiana traveling to Charlotte. Charlotte, sorry. You're getting the loss. Give us Louisiana.

Where Maiden lands

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, 68% to win — the same side Drew has.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Alabama Crimson Tide

Drew’s pick: Alabama Crimson Tide

Another SEC battle as South Carolina travels to Alabama. South Carolina looked good in spurts against Mississippi State last week, and Alabama did not look as great against Florida State even though they put up 50 points. Give us Alabama at home, and look for the hot seat to be turned up on Shane Beamer after the game.

Where Maiden lands

Alabama Crimson Tide, 84% to win — the same side Drew has.

Kansas State Wildcats at Cincinnati Bearcats

Drew’s pick: Cincinnati Bearcats

Kansas State traveling to Cincinnati. This is going to be a slobberknocker. Which version of Avery Johnson shows up is the question. Give us Cincinnati with the upset at home.

Where Maiden lands

Kansas State Wildcats, 55% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers

Drew’s pick: West Virginia Mountaineers

We have Oklahoma State, still riding high on the upset of Oregon, traveling to West Virginia, who had the biggest upset of Week 3. Rich Rod has West Virginia rolling like Pat White was back at quarterback and Pat McAfee was back at punter, baby. Give us West Virginia, making us feel like we're back in 2005, baby.

Where Maiden lands

West Virginia Mountaineers, 71% to win — the same side Drew has.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Tulane Green Wave

Drew’s pick: Tulane Green Wave

We have Southern Miss traveling to Tulane. Give us Tulane.

Where Maiden lands

Tulane Green Wave, 88% to win — the same side Drew has.

Kennesaw State Owls at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Drew’s pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves

We have Kennesaw State traveling to Arkansas State, baby. Give us Arkansas State at home.

Where Maiden lands

Arkansas State Red Wolves, 60% to win — the same side Drew has.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Drew’s pick: Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Then we have Middle Tennessee traveling to Jacksonville State. Give us Jacksonville State at home in Jacksonville, Alabama, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 78% to win — the same side Drew has.

Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers

Drew’s pick: LSU Tigers

We have another SEC banger as Texas A&M, coming off their loss last week, travel to LSU, fighting to survive after their loss to Ole Miss. Is the hype around the Lane train legitimate? Absolutely, baby. Give us the Tigers at home.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

Oregon Ducks at USC Trojans

Drew’s pick: USC Trojans

In our second game of the week, the Oregon Ducks travel to USC. Is this the year that Lincoln Riley breaks through at USC? I think it is, baby. Gary Patterson's defense, little shaky, but they're playing better on both sides of the ball. Give us the Trojans at home at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Our model published no call on this game: it did not clear the 55% confidence floor, so there is no Maiden number to compare. Drew’s pick still gets graded.

Arizona Wildcats at Washington State Cougars

Drew’s pick: Arizona Wildcats

We have Arizona traveling to Washington State. Give us Arizona.

Where Maiden lands

Arizona Wildcats, 56% to win — the same side Drew has.

Troy Trojans at Utah State Aggies

Drew’s pick: Troy Trojans

We have Troy traveling to Utah State. Utah State still winless on the season. And you know what? They're going to stay winless, baby. Give us Troy on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Utah State Aggies, 58% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.

App State Mountaineers at NC State Wolfpack

Drew’s pick: NC State Wolfpack

We have App State traveling to NC State, still reeling from the last second fumble in the end zone by C.J. Bailey. But they're going to win at home, baby. And they're going to bounce back to 2 and 2.

Where Maiden lands

NC State Wolfpack, 82% to win — the same side Drew has.

Missouri Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Drew’s pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs

We have number 19 Missouri traveling to number 24 Mississippi State. What is in the water in Mississippi State, baby? Kamario Taylor is looking like a legitimate first round pick, baby. Give us Mississippi State. Kamario Taylor and the Bulldogs.

Where Maiden lands

Mississippi State Bulldogs, 56% to win — the same side Drew has.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Arkansas Razorbacks

Drew’s pick: Arkansas Razorbacks

We have Tulsa traveling to Arkansas. Give us the Razorbacks, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Arkansas Razorbacks, 77% to win — the same side Drew has.

Florida Atlantic Owls at UL Monroe Warhawks

Drew’s pick: Florida Atlantic Owls

We have FAU going to UL Monroe. FAU and the Owls, baby, move to 3 and 1 on the season.

Where Maiden lands

Florida Atlantic Owls, 67% to win — the same side Drew has.

Missouri State Bears at SMU Mustangs

Drew’s pick: SMU Mustangs

Missouri State travels to SMU, who are looking to take out their frustrations after being upset by Louisville last week. Look for SMU to roll.

Where Maiden lands

SMU Mustangs, 96% to win — the same side Drew has.

Oregon State Beavers at UTEP Miners

Drew’s pick: Oregon State Beavers

We have Oregon State traveling to UTEP, baby. The University of Texas at El Paso. Give us Oregon State on the road in the Sun Bowl, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Oregon State Beavers, 62% to win — the same side Drew has.

Massachusetts Minutemen at Sacramento State Hornets

Drew’s pick: Massachusetts Minutemen

We have UMass. UMass, ladies and gentlemen, looking to stay undefeated on the road at Sacramento State. Give us UMass.

Where Maiden lands

Sacramento State Hornets, 58% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.

Rice Owls at Fresno State Bulldogs

Drew’s pick: Fresno State Bulldogs

We have Rice traveling to Fresno State. Give us Fresno State, baby.

Where Maiden lands

Fresno State Bulldogs, 85% to win — the same side Drew has.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Stanford Cardinal

Drew’s pick: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

We have Georgia Tech, reeling, traveling to Stanford. Give us Tech, baby, on the road.

Where Maiden lands

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 69% to win — the same side Drew has.

Air Force Falcons at Nevada Wolf Pack

Drew’s pick: Air Force Falcons

We have Air Force traveling to Nevada, who have looked off after they ran wild in Week 1. Give us Air Force.

Where Maiden lands

Air Force Falcons, 60% to win — the same side Drew has.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Washington Huskies

Drew’s pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers

And finally, the Saturday night late game, 11 p.m. on Fox. We have the Golden Gophers of Minnesota traveling to face the Huskies of Washington. Will P.J. Fleck continue to row the boat with the Gophers on the road? Why not? Give us Minnesota with the late night upset.

Where Maiden lands

Washington Huskies, 72% to win — the other side. Drew is going against our number here.

It's gonna be fun. Grab the Doritos, grab the Coronas, let's have a good time, baby. See you in Week 5.

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Every college football prediction our model published for Week 4, 2026 is on the Week 4, 2026 board.